Observation #37420

← Research Observations / #37420

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.313030

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $9,633,082

Synced: 10-15 23:01 +1h

← Prev (10-15 21:00) Next (10-15 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5572

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 21:46:21 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000842%

Annualized-7.37%

Premium-0.00056734

Settled at: 2026-10-15 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)34,242,998.00

OI (USD)$10,731,071

Mark price$0.313380

Funding next-0.001238%

Day vol (USD)$11,623,615

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.746%

Change 4h -0.305%

Change 24h -15.581%

Z-score 7d -0.63

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.002945%

Avg 24h -0.003278%

Percentile 7d 13.1%

Percentile 30d 3.8%

Δ 4h -0.001285%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.099%

Divergence -0.03

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.935

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.33

OI momentum 4h

+0.115%

Funding +ratio 24h

24.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-15 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329462	fresh	2h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.588	expansion	bull_high	55%	noisy_chop 37%	early 7b -0.5ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	1.33	96%	↓ -0.36	below_value	-10.06	—	#163502	0.58	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.65	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:24	↗
4h #329411	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.387	normal	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 2b -1.2ATR	—	—	1.36	67%	↑ +0.40	below_value	-10.06	—	#163502	0.50	bear_high	-1.12%	-0.75	15/10 16:00 upd 15/10 20:22	↗
1h anchor #330342	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.391	compression	bear_high	64%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 12b 0.5ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	1.91	94%	↑ +0.20	below_value	-9.99	—	#163935	0.53	range_medium	-0.46%	+0.29	15/10 21:00 upd 15/10 22:13	↗
15m #330265	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.699	compression	bull_medium	59%	noisy_chop 41%	early 6b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	11.43	98%	↑ +0.19	below_value	-10.36	—	#163761	0.69	range_low	+0.12%	+0.05	15/10 21:45 upd 15/10 22:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #204049	fresh	2026-10-15 21:00	0s	0.579	0.466	12/86	2026-10-15 22:00	2026-10-15 22:36
4h #203791	fresh	2026-10-15 16:00	2h	0.434	0.255	65/86	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:39
1d #203876	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	2h	0.467	0.541	52/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #163848	fresh	2026-10-15 21:45	0s	$0.311847	$0.315614	$0.299636	value	0.60	8.09
7d #163935	fresh	2026-10-15 21:00	0s	$0.366162	$0.385229	$0.319511	hvn	-9.99	12.36
30d #163588	fresh	2026-10-15 16:00	2h	$0.331544	$0.372908	$0.305221	value	-1.76	5.88

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.288680 → $0.291647	1.02%	1.50	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.021383	+10.82
above	$0.305342 → $0.307168	0.60%	0.92	0.43	reversion	—	↑ $0.005862	+2.97

Prix observé : $0.313030. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.288680 → $0.291925	1.12%	0.61	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.021105	+3.97
above	$0.304095 → $0.307341	1.06%	0.61	0.44	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.005689	+1.07
below	$0.321133 → $0.325190	1.26%	0.76	0.44	reversion	—	↓ $0.008103	-1.52
below	$0.341417 → $0.349530	2.35%	1.53	0.62	reversion	✓	↓ $0.028387	-5.34
below	$0.381983 → $0.386040	1.06%	0.76	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.068953	-12.97

Prix observé : $0.313030. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.216475 → $0.223996	3.41%	0.65	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.089034	+7.73
above	$0.227004 → $0.254079	11.26%	2.35	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.058951	+5.12

Prix observé : $0.313030. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:46:21+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 819,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}