Observation #37465

← Research Observations / #37465

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-15 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.921320

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,153,706

Synced: 10-15 23:02 +1h

← Prev (10-15 21:00) Next (10-15 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5572

evaluated_at: 2026-10-15 21:46:21 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00004856

Settled at: 2026-10-15 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,056,844.00

OI (USD)$35,144,734

Mark price$0.923480

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$7,252,012

Snapshot at: 2026-10-15 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.285%

Change 4h +0.261%

Change 24h -1.761%

Z-score 7d 0.44

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001039%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.749%

Divergence -0.56

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.119

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.30

OI momentum 4h

-0.207%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

+21 crowded

Time: 2026-10-15 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329648	fresh	2h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.615	expansion	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 13b 1.4ATR	—	near -1.0ATR	1.12	93%	↔ -0.11	above_value	+1.83	inside	#163547	0.64	bull_high	+7.23%	+0.84	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:34	↗
4h #329603	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.598	expansion	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 5b 1.3ATR	—	—	1.06	58%	↔ +0.12	above_value	+1.83	—	#163547	0.50	bear_high	-1.12%	+0.43	15/10 16:00 upd 15/10 20:32	↗
1h anchor #330388	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.689	normal	bull_high	68%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 7b 1.2ATR	—	—	1.64	77%	↑ +0.42	value	+1.32	—	#163981	0.59	range_medium	-0.46%	+0.59	15/10 21:00 upd 15/10 22:15	↗
15m #330312	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.679	compression	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 44%	early 7b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.19	22%	↓ -0.16	value	+1.32	—	#163981	0.72	range_low	+0.12%	+0.21	15/10 21:45 upd 15/10 22:11	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #204094	fresh	2026-10-15 21:00	0s	0.634	0.635	6/86	2026-10-15 22:00	2026-10-15 22:37
4h #203835	fresh	2026-10-15 16:00	2h	0.626	0.715	6/86	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:40
1d #203920	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	2h	0.668	0.922	11/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #163894	fresh	2026-10-15 21:45	0s	$0.890184	$0.901861	$0.833667	lvn LVN	4.24	9.28
7d #163981	fresh	2026-10-15 21:00	0s	$0.902628	$0.955596	$0.859750	value	1.32	5.58
30d #163633	fresh	2026-10-15 16:00	2h	$0.801458	$0.946564	$0.767667	value	3.55	4.92

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.829930 → $0.833667	0.45%	0.51	0.68	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.087653	+11.92
above	$0.900927 → $0.905598	0.52%	0.64	0.45	reversion	—	↑ $0.015722	+2.14
inside	$0.911203 → $0.922413	1.22%	1.52	0.49	reversion	—	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.921320. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.792490 → $0.812668	2.51%	1.17	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.108652	+6.32
above	$0.819394 → $0.836209	2.03%	0.98	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.085111	+4.95
below	$0.979136 → $0.994270	1.53%	0.88	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.057816	-3.36

Prix observé : $0.921320. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.517210 → $0.580818	11.59%	1.75	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.340502	+9.37
above	$0.600695 → $0.628524	4.53%	0.77	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.292796	+8.05
above	$0.739838 → $0.759716	2.65%	0.55	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.161604	+4.45

Prix observé : $0.921320. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:46:21+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 819,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}