Observation #37689

← Research Observations / #37689

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 01:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

00:00–01:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

01:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

02:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.182280

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,447,736

Synced: 10-16 02:01 +1h

← Prev (10-16 00:00) Next (10-16 02:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 00:46:17 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000498%

Annualized4.36%

Premium-0.00046014

Settled at: 2026-10-16 01:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)73,568,064.00

OI (USD)$13,412,929

Mark price$0.182320

Funding next0.000465%

Day vol (USD)$2,440,611

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 00:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.042%

Change 4h -0.324%

Change 24h -6.366%

Z-score 7d 0.09

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000362%

Avg 24h -0.000156%

Percentile 7d 9.5%

Percentile 30d 4.3%

Δ 4h -0.000279%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.486%

Divergence -0.31

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.356

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.74

OI momentum 4h

+0.443%

Funding +ratio 24h

36.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-16 00:00:00 OI observed: 23:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 00:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 144 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329529	fresh	5h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.629	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 44%	late 16b -1.6ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.86	78%	↓ -0.58	below_value	-8.23	—	#163518	0.58	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.93	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:28	↗
4h #331239	fresh	1h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.490	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 6b -1.2ATR	—	—	0.70	36%	↔ +0.08	below_value	-10.06	—	#164284	0.73	bear_high	-1.25%	-0.59	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 00:19	↗
1h anchor #331648	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	grind	0.310	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 35%	early 13b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.54	60%	↓ -0.31	below_value	-9.55	—	#164537	0.82	range_medium	-0.34%	+0.00	16/10 00:00 upd 16/10 01:11	↗
15m #331569	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.396	volatile_reversal	range_low	35%	noisy_chop 34%	early 5b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.68	53%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-10.06	—	#164284	0.86	range_low	+0.18%	-0.03	16/10 00:45 upd 16/10 01:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #204398	fresh	2026-10-16 00:00	0s	0.468	0.456	61/82	2026-10-16 01:00	2026-10-16 01:36
4h #204316	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	1h	0.468	0.297	51/82	2026-10-16 00:00	2026-10-16 00:39
1d #203892	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	5h	0.363	0.365	77/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #164450	fresh	2026-10-16 00:45	0s	$0.178725	$0.182605	$0.177030	value	5.92	9.28
7d #164537	fresh	2026-10-16 00:00	0s	$0.197431	$0.205990	$0.184017	between	-9.56	13.86
30d #164367	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	1h	$0.219720	$0.235136	$0.202140	lvn LVN	-9.56	8.42

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.177030 → $0.177934	0.51%	1.51	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004346	+7.24
above	$0.180721 → $0.181625	0.50%	1.51	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.000655	+1.09
below	$0.185618 → $0.186070	0.24%	0.75	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003338	-5.56

Prix observé : $0.182280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.175330 → $0.177118	1.01%	1.13	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005162	+3.26
below	$0.185550 → $0.189382	2.04%	2.42	0.58	reversion	✓	↓ $0.003270	-2.06
below	$0.204968 → $0.205990	0.50%	0.64	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.022688	-14.31

Prix observé : $0.182280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.172390 → $0.182667	5.79%	2.62	0.74	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.233514 → $0.237300	1.61%	0.97	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.051234	-13.07

Prix observé : $0.182280. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T04:46:17+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 823,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T04:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T04:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}