Observation #37800

← Research Observations / #37800

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.046860

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,644,221

Synced: 10-16 03:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 01:00) Next (10-16 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7865

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 01:46:19 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00022339

Settled at: 2026-10-16 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)174,078,692.00

OI (USD)$8,107,715

Mark price$0.046575

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,683,495

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 01:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.053%

Change 4h +0.978%

Change 24h —

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 95.8% top

Percentile 30d 77.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +5.204%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.536

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

+0.972%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1256 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 58 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329639	fresh	6h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.661	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 13b 0.2ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.54	78%	↑ +0.32	value	-1.09	—	#163544	0.40	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.00	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:33	↗
4h #331318	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.638	expansion	bull_high	56%	noisy_chop 37%	early 3b -0.1ATR	near 0.2ATR	near -0.2ATR	0.72	63%	↑ +0.59	above_value	-2.34	—	#164310	0.43	bear_high	-1.25%	-0.17	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 00:22	↗
1h anchor #332086	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.526	compression	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 47%	early 2b 1.0ATR	—	near -1.2ATR	0.30	53%	↓ -0.78	value	-0.94	—	#164737	0.52	range_medium	-0.34%	-0.15	16/10 01:00 upd 16/10 02:14	↗
15m #332009	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	fading	0.363	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 50%	late 9b 3.4ATR	—	—	2.07	73%	↓ -0.58	value	-0.94	—	#164737	0.42	range_low	+0.16%	+0.41	16/10 01:45 upd 16/10 02:11	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #204505	fresh	2026-10-16 01:00	0s	0.591	0.642	19/86	2026-10-16 02:00
4h #204341	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	2h	0.480	0.479	42/82	2026-10-16 00:00
1d #203917	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	6h	0.585	0.713	19/85	2026-10-15 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #164650	fresh	2026-10-16 01:45	0s	$0.047718	$0.048421	$0.045851	hvn	-2.33	6.99
7d #164737	fresh	2026-10-16 01:00	0s	$0.046974	$0.048117	$0.043754	value	-0.94	4.32
30d #164393	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	2h	$0.042090	$0.048655	$0.039711	hvn	1.40	4.54

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.042989 → $0.043668	1.57%	1.85	0.47	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.003192	+8.68
above	$0.045123 → $0.045753	1.39%	1.71	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001107	+3.01
below	$0.048469 → $0.048809	0.70%	0.92	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001609	-4.37

Prix observé : $0.046860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.040499 → $0.041815	3.20%	1.30	0.75	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005045	+5.00

Prix observé : $0.046860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033432 → $0.038570	14.27%	2.61	0.88	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008290	+4.21

Prix observé : $0.046860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T05:46:19+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 821,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T05:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}