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← Research Observations / #37814
🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context
🪙 AVAX
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 03:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
02:00–03:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
03:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
04:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$10.1580
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $5,302,528
Synced: 10-16 04:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-16 02:00) Next (10-16 04:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.8334
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 02:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00031607
Settled at: 2026-10-16 03:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)2,197,922.28
OI (USD)$22,341,880
Mark price$10.1650
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$5,537,568
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.019%
Change 4h +0.260%
Change 24h -1.220%
Z-score 7d 0.31
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.000423%
Avg 24h 0.000160%
Percentile 7d 37.5%
Percentile 30d 15.4%
Δ 4h -0.000827%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +1.755%
Divergence 0.37
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
3.924
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.24
OI momentum 4h
-0.132%
Funding +ratio 24h
60.0%
Sign streak
+1
Time: 2026-10-16 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329307
 fresh 7h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate balanced 0.540 normal bull_high
57%
noisy_chop 33% early 16b -0.5ATR near -1.9ATR — 0.81 87% ↓ -0.41 value -2.14 — #163469 0.71 bull_high +7.23% -0.36
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#331114
 fresh 3h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.389 normal bear_high
56%
noisy_chop 30% early 6b -0.1ATR — — 0.37 22% ↓ -0.33 value -2.13 — #164237 0.58 bear_high -1.25% -0.36
15/10 20:00
upd 16/10 00:13
 ↗
1h anchor
#332420
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.541 compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 44% late 17b 2.1ATR — near 0.1ATR 0.23 9% ↓ -0.82 above_value -1.01 — #164836 0.72 range_medium -0.30% +0.45
16/10 02:00
upd 16/10 03:09
 ↗
15m
#332349
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.485 volatile_reversal bull_medium
50%
noisy_chop 38% mid 5b 1.6ATR — — 0.92 36% ↓ -0.32 value -1.65 — #164664 0.81 range_low +0.19% +0.17
16/10 02:45
upd 16/10 03:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#204519
 fresh 2026-10-16 02:00 0s 0.522 0.599 42/86 2026-10-16 03:00 2026-10-16 03:35
4h
#204269
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:00 3h 0.491 0.396 34/82 2026-10-16 00:00 2026-10-16 00:37
1d
#203843
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 7h 0.474 0.583 50/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#164751
 fresh 2026-10-16 02:45 0s $9.9690 $10.1007 $9.5972 lvn LVN 3.80 10.12
7d
#164836
 fresh 2026-10-16 02:00 0s $10.2726 $10.7406 $9.7155 hvn -1.01 9.03
30d
#164320
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:00 3h $11.0289 $11.4937 $10.3217 between -3.84 4.37

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $9.8314 → $9.8841 0.53% 1.06 0.83 reversion ✓ ↑ $0.273895 +5.51
inside $10.0890 → $10.1710 0.81% 1.65 0.89 continuation_up ✓ inside +0.00

Prix observé : $10.1580. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $9.3292 → $9.4778 1.58% 1.31 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.680233 +5.99
above $9.6858 → $9.7749 0.92% 0.79 0.63 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.383100 +3.38
below $10.6514 → $10.8000 1.39% 1.31 0.66 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.493443 -4.35
below $11.0526 → $11.1120 0.54% 0.52 0.81 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.894573 -7.88

Prix observé : $10.1580. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $7.1697 → $7.4526 3.87% 1.06 0.93 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $2.7054 +10.09
above $7.6546 → $7.8971 3.12% 0.90 0.96 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $2.2609 +8.43
above $8.2608 → $8.5841 3.84% 1.21 0.93 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $1.5739 +5.87
above $8.6649 → $9.0286 4.11% 1.36 0.93 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $1.1294 +4.21

Prix observé : $10.1580. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}