Observation #37868

← Research Observations / #37868

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.4583

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,337,010

Synced: 10-16 04:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 02:00) Next (10-16 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.8334

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 02:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001272

Settled at: 2026-10-16 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,870,526.60

OI (USD)$7,071,255

Mark price$2.4634

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,170,941

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.264%

Change 4h +0.486%

Change 24h +0.518%

Z-score 7d 0.25

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.721%

Divergence 0.70

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.960

OI / Vol z-7d

0.96

OI momentum 4h

+0.661%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+909 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 136 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329566	fresh	7h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.545	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 40%	early 20b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.12	75%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+1.02	—	#163527	0.50	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.73	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:29	↗
4h #331264	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.616	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early 9b 0.5ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.21	7%	↔ +0.03	above_value	+0.19	—	#164292	0.52	bear_high	-1.25%	+0.18	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 00:20	↗
1h anchor #332475	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.576	normal	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 45%	late 3b 1.9ATR	—	—	0.24	18%	↓ -0.76	above_value	+1.97	—	#164890	0.70	range_medium	-0.30%	+0.41	16/10 02:00 upd 16/10 03:11	↗
15m #332315	fresh	15min	↑ up	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.703	normal	bull_medium	61%	noisy_chop 44%	late 12b 1.5ATR	—	near -3.5ATR	0.40	15%	↓ -0.55	above_value	+1.34	—	#164719	0.78	range_low	+0.15%	+0.17	16/10 02:30 upd 16/10 02:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #204574	fresh	2026-10-16 02:00	0s	0.566	0.664	26/86	2026-10-16 03:00	2026-10-16 03:36
4h #204324	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	3h	0.520	0.475	20/82	2026-10-16 00:00	2026-10-16 00:39
1d #203901	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	7h	0.444	0.496	59/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #164805	fresh	2026-10-16 02:45	0s	$2.4211	$2.4722	$2.3466	lvn LVN	2.94	9.92
7d #164890	fresh	2026-10-16 02:00	0s	$2.3946	$2.4333	$2.2908	between	1.97	4.41
30d #164375	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	3h	$2.7114	$2.8182	$2.4464	between	-4.10	5.41

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.3550 → $2.3918	1.55%	2.91	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.066460	+5.25
inside	$2.4571 → $2.4722	0.61%	1.19	0.93	continuation_up	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $2.4583. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.2233 → $2.2608	1.67%	1.16	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.197500	+6.11
below	$2.4858 → $2.5233	1.50%	1.16	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027500	-0.85

Prix observé : $2.4583. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.1379 → $2.2408	4.70%	1.50	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.217540	+3.16
below	$2.9052 → $2.9843	2.69%	1.15	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.446900	-6.50

Prix observé : $2.4583. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}