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← Research Observations / #37878
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 03:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
02:00–03:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
03:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
04:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.085888
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $32,685,840
Synced: 10-16 04:02 +1h
← Prev (10-16 02:00) Next (10-16 04:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.8334
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 02:46:16 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.002369%
Annualized20.75%
Premium0.00068954
Settled at: 2026-10-16 03:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)775,885,262.00
OI (USD)$66,831,653
Mark price$0.086136
Funding next0.002693%
Day vol (USD)$32,402,781
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 02:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.618%
Change 4h +1.854%
Change 24h +13.610%
Z-score 7d 0.57
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.000832%
Percentile 7d 99.4% top
Percentile 30d 82.2%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +1.315%
Divergence -0.18
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.018
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.98
OI momentum 4h
+1.123%
Funding +ratio 24h
84.0%
Sign streak
+20 crowded
Time: 2026-10-16 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329616
 fresh 7h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.387 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% mid 20b -0.5ATR near -0.5ATR — 1.45 93% ↓ -0.69 value +3.22 — #163537 0.54 bull_high +7.23% -0.99
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:32
 ↗
4h
#331294
 fresh 3h ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.393 volatile_reversal bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 38% early 6b 0.5ATR — — 0.29 20% ↔ +0.02 above_value +2.74 — #164302 0.54 bear_high -1.25% +0.12
15/10 20:00
upd 16/10 00:21
 ↗
1h anchor
#332485
 fresh 0s ↑ up early_expansion bullish_transition moderate grind 0.703 expansion_after_compression bull_high
69%
noisy_chop 48% mid 3b 1.2ATR — — 0.79 91% ↓ -0.78 value +3.86 — #164900 0.61 range_medium -0.30% +0.68
16/10 02:00
upd 16/10 03:12
 ↗
15m
#332403
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.536 volatile_reversal bull_high_confirmed
51%
noisy_chop 36% mid 13b 1.2ATR — near -1.3ATR 2.66 84% ↑ +0.95 value +3.58 — #164729 0.52 range_low +0.19% +0.14
16/10 02:45
upd 16/10 03:04
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#204583
 fresh 2026-10-16 02:00 0s 0.623 0.681 9/86 2026-10-16 03:00 2026-10-16 03:37
4h
#204333
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:00 3h 0.516 0.382 23/82 2026-10-16 00:00 2026-10-16 00:39
1d
#203910
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 7h 0.451 0.439 57/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#164815
 fresh 2026-10-16 02:45 0s $0.085403 $0.086952 $0.080955 hvn 0.73 8.98
7d
#164900
 fresh 2026-10-16 02:00 0s $0.080026 $0.086410 $0.078973 value 3.86 4.89
30d
#164385
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:00 3h $0.095869 $0.107105 $0.079546 value -3.54 9.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076557 → $0.077257 0.91% 1.05 0.72 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.008631 +12.91
above $0.078056 → $0.080255 2.78% 3.29 0.69 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.005633 +8.43

Prix observé : $0.085888. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.076989 2.78% 1.39 0.79 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.008899 +5.86
below $0.088270 → $0.089757 1.67% 0.98 0.75 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.002382 -1.57

Prix observé : $0.085888. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.079546 6.04% 1.54 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.006342 +2.09
below $0.117704 → $0.125760 6.62% 2.66 0.72 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.031816 -10.50

Prix observé : $0.085888. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:46:16+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 824,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}