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← Research Observations / #37898
🪙 ETH page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ETH
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 04:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
03:00–04:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
04:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
05:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$2,454.30
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $1,292,839,031
Synced: 10-16 05:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-16 03:00) Next (10-16 05:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ETH — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbroad_risk_on
Leadershipalts
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.7355
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 03:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00030209
Settled at: 2026-10-16 04:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)1,096,758.62
OI (USD)$2,691,555,327
Mark price$2,454.10
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$1,314,378,009
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 03:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -0.158%
Change 4h -0.348%
Change 24h +2.864%
Z-score 7d -0.27
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001063%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 96.3%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h +0.603%
Divergence 0.90
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.002
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.51
OI momentum 4h
-0.402%
Funding +ratio 24h
96.0%
Sign streak
+17 crowded
Time: 2026-10-16 03:00:00 OI observed: 02:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 03:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329289
 fresh 8h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.580 normal bull_high
48%
noisy_chop 37% early 24b -1.2ATR near 0.4ATR — 1.65 93% ↑ +0.37 value -2.77 — #163466 0.91 bull_high +7.12% -0.64
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:16
 ↗
4h
#332822
 fresh 0s ↓ down early_expansion bearish_transition moderate grind 0.361 expansion bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 35% early 7b 0.0ATR — — 0.41 30% ↔ -0.09 value -2.72 — #165005 0.87 bear_high -1.00% -0.02
16/10 00:00
upd 16/10 04:12
 ↗
1h anchor
#332820
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.591 compression range_high
42%
noisy_chop 49% mid 4b 1.4ATR — — 0.38 36% ↓ -0.82 value -2.72 — #165005 0.89 range_medium -0.16% +0.22
16/10 03:00
upd 16/10 04:12
 ↗
15m
#332752
 fresh 0s ↑ up range range moderate grind 0.607 compression bull_low
48%
noisy_chop 39% early 7b 1.2ATR — near -0.2ATR 0.30 5% ↓ -0.27 value -2.92 — #164834 0.88 range_low +0.31% +0.03
16/10 03:45
upd 16/10 04:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#204603
 fresh 2026-10-16 03:00 0s 0.481 0.547 60/85 2026-10-16 04:00 2026-10-16 04:35
4h
#204688
 fresh 2026-10-16 00:00 0s 0.518 0.427 30/85 2026-10-16 04:00 2026-10-16 04:37
1d
#203840
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 8h 0.542 0.415 28/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#164919
 fresh 2026-10-16 03:45 0s $2,454.07 $2,466.70 $2,368.10 hvn 0.03 14.39
7d
#165005
 fresh 2026-10-16 03:00 0s $2,506.68 $2,564.92 $2,437.46 value -2.72 6.63
30d
#165091
 fresh 2026-10-16 00:00 0s $2,696.04 $2,780.62 $2,508.31 between -5.77 6.38

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2,322.40 → $2,330.82 0.36% 1.23 0.74 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $123.48 +18.02
above $2,383.73 → $2,392.15 0.35% 1.23 0.73 reversion ✓ ↑ $62.1550 +9.07
above $2,399.36 → $2,417.40 0.75% 2.63 0.72 reversion ✓ ↑ $36.9025 +5.38

Prix observé : $2,454.30. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2,314.40 → $2,334.18 0.85% 1.03 0.77 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $120.12 +6.25
above $2,382.52 → $2,404.50 0.92% 1.14 0.71 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $49.8025 +2.59
below $2,558.32 → $2,578.10 0.77% 1.03 0.76 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $104.02 -5.41

Prix observé : $2,454.30. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2,314.40 → $2,380.41 2.81% 1.55 0.76 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $73.8867 +1.73
below $2,772.37 → $2,809.50 1.33% 0.87 0.81 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $318.07 -7.45

Prix observé : $2,454.30. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T07:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T07:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}