Observation #38040

← Research Observations / #38040

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.4669

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,517,102

Synced: 10-16 06:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 04:00) Next (10-16 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7672

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 04:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00008547

Settled at: 2026-10-16 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,881,560.40

OI (USD)$7,121,488

Mark price$2.4714

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,530,399

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +2.126%

Change 4h +2.461%

Change 24h +2.696%

Z-score 7d 1.71

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.065%

Divergence -0.52

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.400

OI / Vol z-7d

0.61

OI momentum 4h

+2.280%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+911 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 136 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329566	fresh	9h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.545	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 40%	early 20b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.12	75%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+1.02	—	#163527	0.50	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.73	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:29	↗
4h #332970	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.482	expansion	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 33%	mid 10b 1.1ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.80	44%	↑ +0.25	above_value	+1.95	—	#165061	0.53	bear_high	-1.00%	+0.57	16/10 00:00 upd 16/10 04:19	↗
1h anchor #333374	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.582	normal	bull_high_confirmed	64%	noisy_chop 44%	late 5b 1.8ATR	—	—	3.26	94%	↓ -0.51	above_value	+1.78	—	#165319	0.70	range_medium	-0.21%	+0.53	16/10 04:00 upd 16/10 05:11	↗
15m #333215	fresh	15min	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.578	expansion	bull_medium_confirmed	68%	noisy_chop 51%	mid 2b 1.7ATR	—	—	1.18	86%	↑ +0.98	above_value	+1.95	—	#165061	0.76	range_low	+0.31%	+0.25	16/10 04:30 upd 16/10 04:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #204829	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	0s	0.688	0.654	11/85	2026-10-16 05:00	2026-10-16 05:36
4h #204744	fresh	2026-10-16 00:00	1h	0.588	0.566	9/85	2026-10-16 04:00	2026-10-16 04:39
1d #203901	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	9h	0.444	0.496	59/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #165233	fresh	2026-10-16 04:45	0s	$2.4196	$2.4856	$2.3765	value	3.43	7.89
7d #165319	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	0s	$2.4096	$2.4408	$2.2858	between	1.78	4.80
30d #165147	fresh	2026-10-16 00:00	1h	$2.7114	$2.8182	$2.4464	value	-3.40	5.33

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.3536 → $2.3938	1.69%	2.91	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.073147	+5.29
above	$2.4550 → $2.4645	0.39%	0.69	0.83	reversion	✓	↑ $0.002353	+0.17

Prix observé : $2.4669. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.2233 → $2.2683	2.00%	1.39	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.198600	+6.15
below	$2.4933 → $2.5233	1.20%	0.93	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.026400	-0.82

Prix observé : $2.4669. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0351 → $2.1300	4.56%	1.36	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.336880	+4.83
above	$2.1379 → $2.2249	3.99%	1.25	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.241960	+3.47
below	$2.9052 → $2.9843	2.69%	1.13	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.438300	-6.28

Prix observé : $2.4669. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T08:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}