Observation #38069

← Research Observations / #38069

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,979.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,063,828,685

Synced: 10-16 07:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 05:00) Next (10-16 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6563

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 05:46:13 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00025295

Settled at: 2026-10-16 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,746.52

OI (USD)$3,426,053,308

Mark price$82,068.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,002,313,779

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 05:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.399%

Change 4h +0.586%

Change 24h +5.128%

Z-score 7d 0.53

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.000989%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.196%

Divergence -0.61

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.146

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.63

OI momentum 4h

+1.046%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+19 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329283	fresh	10h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 24b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.78	91%	↑ +0.26	value	-1.40	—	#163465	—	—	—	—	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:15	↗
4h #332819	fresh	2h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.409	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early 4b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.20	10%	↓ -0.21	value	-1.77	—	#164833	—	—	—	—	16/10 00:00 upd 16/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #333718	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.645	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 34%	early 6b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.32	24%	↓ -0.89	value	-1.74	—	#165262	—	—	—	—	16/10 05:00 upd 16/10 06:05	↗
15m #333650	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.497	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 4b -1.3ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	1.61	38%	↑ +0.25	value	-1.74	—	#165262	—	—	—	—	16/10 05:45 upd 16/10 06:00	↗
5m #333649	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.508	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 39%	late 13b -2.3ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	2.72	87%	↑ +0.77	value	-1.74	—	#165262	—	—	—	—	16/10 05:55 upd 16/10 06:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #204857	fresh	2026-10-16 05:00	0s	0.452	0.493	72/85	2026-10-16 06:00	2026-10-16 06:35
4h #204687	fresh	2026-10-16 00:00	2h	0.527	0.468	20/85	2026-10-16 04:00	2026-10-16 04:37
1d #203839	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	10h	0.611	0.565	16/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #165348	fresh	2026-10-16 05:45	0s	$82,312.90	$82,613.00	$81,004.44	value	-2.17	10.47
7d #165434	fresh	2026-10-16 05:00	0s	$82,997.39	$83,894.89	$81,794.35	value	-2.38	4.91
30d #165090	fresh	2026-10-16 00:00	2h	$83,573.81	$86,639.60	$82,170.83	between	-1.49	4.61

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,044.11	0.39%	2.03	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,934.89	+12.60
above	$81,316.55 → $81,724.69	0.50%	2.66	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $254.31	+1.66

Prix observé : $81,979.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	2.14	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,330.40	+3.11
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	0.63	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,068.66	-4.84

Prix observé : $81,979.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,870.65 → $78,013.83	1.48%	1.18	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,965.18	+4.09
above	$78,429.53 → $79,988.40	1.97%	1.61	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,990.60	+2.05

Prix observé : $81,979.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	06:05	06:20	+0.15%	+0.29×	+0.38×	-0.13×	15m	5m	Low first	0.89	0.00%	+0.15%	12.29%	0.27%	$45.98M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	06:05	07:05	+0.50%	+0.95×	+0.99×	-0.13×	40m	5m	Low first	0.67	0.00%	+0.50%	22.31%	0.59%	$122.40M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	06:05	10:05	+0.18%	+0.34×	+2.40×	-0.46×	1h25m	3h50m	High first	0.04	0.00%	+0.18%	37.91%	1.51%	$687.68M	07:05 / 07:20	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	06:05	18:05	-0.17%	-0.32×	+2.40×	-2.53×	1h25m	7h25m	High first	0.01	0.00%	-0.17%	46.03%	2.60%	$2.38B	07:05 / 07:20	11:50 / 13:15	—	100%
1d	computed	06:05	06:05	-0.36%	-0.68×	+2.40×	-2.53×	1h25m	7h25m	High first	0.02	0.00%	-0.36%	33.81%	2.60%	$2.63B	07:05 / 07:20	11:50 / 13:15	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T09:46:13+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 827,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T09:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}