Observation #38238

← Research Observations / #38238

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 08:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

07:00–08:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

08:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

09:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$82,610.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $3,119,844,023

Synced: 10-16 09:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 07:00) Next (10-16 09:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6989

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 07:46:12 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00029206

Settled at: 2026-10-16 08:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,713.73

OI (USD)$3,445,846,116

Mark price$82,607.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$3,133,206,894

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 07:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.817%

Change 4h +2.054%

Change 24h +6.773%

Z-score 7d 1.13

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001064%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.407%

Divergence -0.79

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.136

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.64

OI momentum 4h

+2.767%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+21 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 07:00:00 OI observed: 06:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 07:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329283	fresh	12h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	early 24b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.78	91%	↑ +0.26	value	-1.40	—	#163465	—	—	—	—	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:15	↗
4h #334525	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.409	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 33%	early 5b -0.1ATR	—	—	0.50	34%	↔ -0.13	value	-1.85	—	#165606	—	—	—	—	16/10 04:00 upd 16/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #334523	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.553	compression	range_medium	38%	noisy_chop 36%	late 8b 1.7ATR	—	—	1.63	79%	↓ -0.51	value	-1.85	—	#165606	—	—	—	—	16/10 07:00 upd 16/10 08:05	↗
15m #334459	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.633	expansion	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 39%	late 7b 1.5ATR	—	near -1.5ATR	0.70	38%	↑ +0.90	value	-1.85	—	#165606	—	—	—	—	16/10 07:45 upd 16/10 08:00	↗
5m #334458	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.359	expansion	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 8b 1.2ATR	—	—	0.54	80%	↔ +0.09	value	-1.85	—	#165606	—	—	—	—	16/10 07:55 upd 16/10 08:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205027	fresh	2026-10-16 07:00	0s	0.546	0.541	49/84	2026-10-16 08:00	2026-10-16 08:35
4h #205111	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	0s	0.555	0.489	23/84	2026-10-16 08:00	2026-10-16 08:37
1d #203839	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	12h	0.611	0.565	16/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #165692	fresh	2026-10-16 07:45	0s	$82,277.99	$82,898.00	$81,315.00	value	1.70	8.09
7d #165776	fresh	2026-10-16 07:00	0s	$82,997.39	$83,894.89	$81,794.35	hvn	-0.86	4.65
30d #165860	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	0s	$83,573.81	$86,639.60	$82,170.83	value	-1.34	4.75

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,022.22	0.36%	1.48	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,587.78	+13.22
above	$81,446.92 → $81,710.75	0.32%	1.35	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $899.25	+4.59
below	$82,739.70 → $82,898.00	0.19%	0.81	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $129.70	-0.66

Prix observé : $82,610.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	2.03	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,961.40	+4.34
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	0.59	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $1,437.66	-3.18

Prix observé : $82,610.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,870.65 → $78,013.83	1.48%	1.22	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $4,596.18	+4.89
above	$78,429.53 → $79,988.40	1.97%	1.66	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2,621.60	+2.79

Prix observé : $82,610.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	08:05	08:20	-0.20%	-0.35×	+0.06×	-0.66×	5m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.20%	44.00%	0.41%	$66.97M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	08:05	09:05	-0.51%	-0.91×	+0.06×	-1.01×	5m	1h	High first	0.48	0.00%	-0.51%	36.12%	0.61%	$225.74M	— / —	09:00 / —	—	100%
4h	computed	08:05	12:05	-1.33%	-2.35×	+0.17×	-2.52×	2h20m	4h	High first	0.26	0.00%	-1.33%	45.32%	1.52%	$768.05M	— / —	09:00 / 11:05	—	100%
12h	computed	08:05	20:05	-1.00%	-1.77×	+0.17×	-3.50×	2h20m	5h25m	High first	0.08	0.00%	-1.00%	43.36%	2.07%	$2.13B	— / —	09:00 / 11:05	—	100%
1d	computed	08:05	08:05	-1.03%	-1.82×	+0.17×	-3.50×	2h20m	5h25m	High first	0.06	0.00%	-1.03%	31.93%	2.07%	$2.37B	— / —	09:00 / 11:05	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T11:46:12+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 828,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T11:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T11:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}