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← Research Observations / #38411
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 10:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
09:00–10:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
10:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
11:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.199260
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $19,679,249
Synced: 10-16 11:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-16 09:00) Next (10-16 11:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.3567
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 09:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00034508
Settled at: 2026-10-16 10:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)111,098,656.60
OI (USD)$22,208,621
Mark price$0.199900
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$20,148,407
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +2.561%
Change 4h +7.103%
Change 24h +5.961%
Z-score 7d 1.87
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001200%
Avg 24h 0.000263%
Percentile 7d 67.9%
Percentile 30d 26.8%
Δ 4h -0.000050%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +0.100%
Divergence -2.35 fort
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
1.068
OI / Vol z-7d
-1.15
OI momentum 4h
+0.651%
Funding +ratio 24h
68.0%
Sign streak
+5
Time: 2026-10-16 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329328
 fresh 14h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.714 compression bull_high
55%
noisy_chop 38% early 22b 0.3ATR — — 1.64 89% ↓ -0.26 value +2.81 — #163473 0.58 bull_high +7.23% -0.85
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:18
 ↗
4h
#334547
 fresh 2h ↔ neutral transition bearish_transition moderate balanced 0.501 expansion bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 40% mid 8b 1.6ATR — — 2.08 70% ↑ +0.56 above_value +0.82 — #165783 0.40 range_high -0.58% +0.69
16/10 04:00
upd 16/10 08:13
 ↗
1h anchor
#335433
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition strong fading 0.510 compression bull_high_confirmed
61%
noisy_chop 37% mid 10b 1.3ATR — near 0.4ATR 1.14 85% ↑ +0.44 above_value +0.25 — #166204 0.73 range_medium -0.45% +0.33
16/10 09:00
upd 16/10 10:10
 ↗
15m
#335358
 fresh 0s ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.665 expansion_after_compression bull_high
60%
noisy_chop 36% early 4b -0.2ATR near -0.8ATR — 0.39 58% ↔ +0.01 above_value +0.23 — #166036 0.76 range_low -0.10% +0.10
16/10 09:45
upd 16/10 10:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#205285
 fresh 2026-10-16 09:00 0s 0.694 0.741 5/82 2026-10-16 10:00 2026-10-16 10:35
4h
#205118
 fresh 2026-10-16 04:00 2h 0.733 0.672 3/84 2026-10-16 08:00 2026-10-16 08:37
1d
#203847
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 14h 0.577 0.717 21/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#166121
 fresh 2026-10-16 09:45 0s $0.200706 $0.202131 $0.193580 hvn -0.74 4.40
7d
#166204
 fresh 2026-10-16 09:00 0s $0.198394 $0.201000 $0.183442 hvn 0.25 5.08
30d
#165867
 fresh 2026-10-16 04:00 2h $0.203776 $0.231374 $0.185519 hvn -0.46 6.54

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.176040 → $0.181302 2.95% 2.70 0.91 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.017958 +9.23
above $0.186345 → $0.187660 0.70% 0.68 0.85 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.011600 +5.96

Prix observé : $0.199260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.170000 → $0.172743 1.60% 0.79 0.63 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.026517 +7.67
above $0.175487 → $0.179327 2.16% 1.11 0.44 continuation_down — ↑ $0.019933 +5.77

Prix observé : $0.199260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.154100 → $0.161742 4.84% 1.09 0.69 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.037518 +5.35
below $0.238168 → $0.256000 7.22% 2.54 0.64 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.038908 -5.54

Prix observé : $0.199260. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}