Observation #38412

← Research Observations / #38412

🪙 DOGE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 DOGE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.081568

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,089,209

Synced: 10-16 11:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 09:00) Next (10-16 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · DOGE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3567

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 09:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00029335

Settled at: 2026-10-16 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,225,798,824.00

OI (USD)$100,032,539

Mark price$0.081606

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$6,959,440

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.097%

Change 4h -0.062%

Change 24h -0.607%

Z-score 7d -0.47

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 87.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.875%

Divergence -0.36

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

12.572

OI / Vol z-7d

0.27

OI momentum 4h

-0.012%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+123 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329333	fresh	14h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.708	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 23b -1.5ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.79	62%	↓ -0.25	value	-4.12	—	#163474	0.80	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.94	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:18	↗
4h #334550	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	grind	0.469	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early 8b -0.1ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.17	1%	↓ -0.29	value	-3.34	—	#165784	0.79	range_high	-0.58%	-0.15	16/10 04:00 upd 16/10 08:13	↗
1h anchor #335434	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.632	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 32%	early 2b -0.3ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	2.20	60%	↔ -0.14	value	-4.58	—	#166205	0.83	range_medium	-0.45%	+0.09	16/10 09:00 upd 16/10 10:10	↗
15m #335359	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.615	volatile_reversal	range_medium	33%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 1b -1.2ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.18	51%	↑ +0.70	value	-4.38	—	#166037	0.80	range_low	-0.10%	-0.07	16/10 09:45 upd 16/10 10:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205286	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	0.529	0.507	51/82	2026-10-16 10:00	2026-10-16 10:35
4h #205119	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	0.508	0.393	44/84	2026-10-16 08:00	2026-10-16 08:37
1d #203848	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	14h	0.355	0.339	78/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #166122	fresh	2026-10-16 09:45	0s	$0.081507	$0.082151	$0.080325	hvn	0.18	5.38
7d #166205	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	$0.084698	$0.086394	$0.081002	value	-4.58	7.89
30d #165868	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	$0.095486	$0.102436	$0.088771	between	-8.15	8.45

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.077876 → $0.078457	0.74%	1.71	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003111	+9.16
above	$0.079038 → $0.079660	0.78%	1.83	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001908	+5.62
above	$0.080034 → $0.080283	0.31%	0.73	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001285	+3.78
below	$0.082607 → $0.082856	0.30%	0.73	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001039	-3.06

Prix observé : $0.081568. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.077698 → $0.079872	2.76%	3.18	0.65	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001696	+2.48

Prix observé : $0.081568. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.077698 → $0.080290	3.28%	1.60	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001278	+0.79
below	$0.089714 → $0.090656	1.05%	0.58	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.008146	-5.04
below	$0.102436 → $0.105970	3.39%	2.19	0.81	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.020868	-12.91

Prix observé : $0.081568. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}