Observation #38429

← Research Observations / #38429

🪙 DOT page 📊 Market Context

🪙 DOT

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.1737

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,799,027

Synced: 10-16 11:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 09:00) Next (10-16 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · DOT — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3567

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 09:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000520%

Annualized4.55%

Premium-0.00045842

Settled at: 2026-10-16 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,826,782.60

OI (USD)$5,680,158

Mark price$1.1768

Funding next0.000515%

Day vol (USD)$4,134,596

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.045%

Change 4h -0.054%

Change 24h -2.547%

Z-score 7d 0.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001126%

Avg 24h 0.000491%

Percentile 7d 28.0%

Percentile 30d 25.3%

Δ 4h +0.000270%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +2.471%

Divergence 1.26

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.248

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.70

OI momentum 4h

-1.444%

Funding +ratio 24h

80.0%

Sign streak

+13 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329422	fresh	14h	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.803	expansion	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 39%	early 5b -0.2ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	1.45	94%	↔ +0.13	value	-5.37	—	#163492	0.61	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.31	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:22	↗
4h #334584	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.639	normal	range_high	38%	noisy_chop 37%	early 5b 0.5ATR	—	—	0.96	72%	↑ +0.34	value	-4.10	—	#165801	0.45	range_high	-0.58%	+0.06	16/10 04:00 upd 16/10 08:15	↗
1h anchor #335451	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	strong	grind	0.612	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 34%	mid 10b 1.2ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	1.35	79%	↑ +0.44	value	-3.97	—	#166222	0.60	range_medium	-0.45%	+0.43	16/10 09:00 upd 16/10 10:11	↗
15m #335376	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	explosive	0.797	volatile_reversal	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 42%	early 6b 0.8ATR	—	—	0.90	62%	↑ +0.89	value	-4.13	—	#166054	0.64	range_low	-0.10%	+0.26	16/10 09:45 upd 16/10 10:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205303	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	0.637	0.680	12/82	2026-10-16 10:00	2026-10-16 10:35
4h #205136	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	0.558	0.512	21/84	2026-10-16 08:00	2026-10-16 08:38
1d #203866	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	14h	0.510	0.636	36/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #166139	fresh	2026-10-16 09:45	0s	$1.1460	$1.1825	$1.1373	hvn	2.73	4.47
7d #166222	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	$1.2537	$1.2836	$1.1433	value	-3.97	6.96
30d #165885	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	$1.1874	$1.2582	$1.1223	value	-1.30	3.72

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.0695 → $1.0798	0.96%	1.02	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.093925	+9.28
above	$1.0808 → $1.0942	1.23%	1.32	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.079540	+7.86
below	$1.1866 → $1.1928	0.52%	0.61	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012935	-1.28

Prix observé : $1.1737. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.0484 → $1.0855	3.48%	1.84	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.088160	+4.38
above	$1.1000 → $1.1124	1.12%	0.61	0.46	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.061337	+3.04
below	$1.2836 → $1.2960	0.96%	0.61	0.58	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.109920	-5.46

Prix observé : $1.1737. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.960480 → $1.0183	5.84%	1.58	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.155417	+4.26
below	$1.2813 → $1.3073	2.01%	0.71	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.107589	-2.95

Prix observé : $1.1737. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}