Observation #38431

← Research Observations / #38431

🪙 TIA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TIA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.704810

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $20,539,049

Synced: 10-16 11:00 +1h

← Prev (10-16 09:00) Next (10-16 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TIA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3567

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 09:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000758%

Annualized6.64%

Premium-0.00043938

Settled at: 2026-10-16 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)22,342,952.80

OI (USD)$15,841,377

Mark price$0.709010

Funding next0.000998%

Day vol (USD)$20,075,921

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.913%

Change 4h +0.715%

Change 24h +13.785%

Z-score 7d -0.57

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 95.4%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +3.039%

Divergence 0.50

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

0.829

OI / Vol z-7d

-1.33

OI momentum 4h

-3.221%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+692 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329430	fresh	14h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.601	volatile_reversal	bull_high_confirmed	56%	noisy_chop 31%	mid 14b 1.2ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	2.63	100%	↑ +0.89	above_value	-0.03	—	#163494	0.60	bull_high	+7.23%	+0.96	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:23	↗
4h #334588	fresh	2h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.480	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 41%	late 8b 2.9ATR	—	—	1.94	99%	↑ +0.42	above_value	+4.84	inside	#165803	0.49	range_high	-0.58%	+0.93	16/10 04:00 upd 16/10 08:15	↗
1h anchor #335453	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.639	expansion	bull_high_confirmed	72%	noisy_chop 49%	late 5b 2.5ATR	—	—	2.67	100%	↑ +0.74	above_value	+5.12	—	#166224	0.50	range_medium	-0.45%	+0.94	16/10 09:00 upd 16/10 10:11	↗
15m #335378	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.621	compression	bull_high_confirmed	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 3b 1.2ATR	—	near -2.8ATR	1.56	95%	↑ +0.67	above_value	+5.06	—	#166056	0.46	range_low	-0.10%	+0.30	16/10 09:45 upd 16/10 10:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205305	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	0.915	0.947	1/82	2026-10-16 10:00	2026-10-16 10:35
4h #205138	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	0.801	0.961	1/84	2026-10-16 08:00	2026-10-16 08:38
1d #203868	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	14h	0.816	0.976	4/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #166141	fresh	2026-10-16 09:45	0s	$0.589242	$0.686757	$0.566850	hvn	9.66	10.03
7d #166224	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	$0.591572	$0.622514	$0.528621	between	5.12	4.24
30d #165887	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	$0.595150	$0.616358	$0.463008	between	2.64	4.15

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.545180 → $0.574073	5.16%	2.42	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.130737	+10.93
above	$0.623192 → $0.636194	2.06%	1.09	0.77	reversion	✓	↑ $0.068616	+5.74

Prix observé : $0.704810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.462470 → $0.488077	5.39%	1.16	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.216733	+9.80
above	$0.492345 → $0.507282	2.99%	0.68	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.197528	+8.93
above	$0.633183 → $0.652389	2.99%	0.87	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↑ $0.052421	+2.37

Prix observé : $0.704810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.322710 → $0.345549	6.84%	0.62	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.359261	+9.72
above	$0.355337 → $0.397753	11.26%	1.15	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.307057	+8.30

Prix observé : $0.704810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}