Observation #38470

← Research Observations / #38470

🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XPL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 10:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

09:00–10:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

10:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

11:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.084532

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $20,567,561

Synced: 10-16 11:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 09:00) Next (10-16 11:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3567

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 09:46:11 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00019384

Settled at: 2026-10-16 10:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)774,336,542.00

OI (USD)$65,553,009

Mark price$0.084657

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$24,724,186

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 09:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.877%

Change 4h +0.037%

Change 24h +20.366%

Z-score 7d 0.80

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001321%

Percentile 7d 98.8% top

Percentile 30d 82.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -1.019%

Divergence -0.38

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.987

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.97

OI momentum 4h

-3.078%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+27 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 09:00:00 OI observed: 08:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 09:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329616	fresh	14h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.387	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 20b -0.5ATR	near -0.5ATR	—	1.45	93%	↓ -0.69	value	+3.22	—	#163537	0.54	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.99	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:32	↗
4h #334705	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.567	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 8b 0.6ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.47	31%	↑ +0.35	value	+4.52	—	#165843	0.55	range_high	-0.58%	+0.47	16/10 04:00 upd 16/10 08:21	↗
1h anchor #335492	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	grind	0.611	compression	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 43%	early 7b -0.2ATR	—	—	1.01	83%	↓ -0.41	value	+3.71	—	#166263	0.61	range_medium	-0.45%	-0.05	16/10 09:00 upd 16/10 10:13	↗
15m #335409	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	strong	explosive	0.254	normal	range_medium	42%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 5b -1.2ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	1.29	73%	↑ +0.65	value	+3.85	—	#166096	0.52	range_low	-0.10%	-0.12	16/10 09:45 upd 16/10 10:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205343	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	0.516	0.535	55/82	2026-10-16 10:00	2026-10-16 10:37
4h #205177	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	0.549	0.499	26/84	2026-10-16 08:00	2026-10-16 08:39
1d #203910	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	14h	0.451	0.439	57/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #166180	fresh	2026-10-16 09:45	0s	$0.085427	$0.086376	$0.083924	value	-1.59	4.35
7d #166263	fresh	2026-10-16 09:00	0s	$0.080026	$0.086534	$0.079097	value	3.72	5.84
30d #165927	fresh	2026-10-16 04:00	2h	$0.095869	$0.107105	$0.079546	value	-3.48	9.29

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.082998 → $0.083646	0.78%	1.15	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000886	+1.57
below	$0.086978 → $0.087811	0.95%	1.48	0.53	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002446	-4.34

Prix observé : $0.084532. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.074882 → $0.076989	2.78%	1.65	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007543	+5.92
below	$0.088270 → $0.089757	1.67%	1.17	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003738	-2.93

Prix observé : $0.084532. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.074882 → $0.079546	6.04%	1.57	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004986	+1.68
below	$0.117704 → $0.125760	6.62%	2.71	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.033172	-11.18

Prix observé : $0.084532. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:46:11+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 829,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}