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← Research Observations / #38541
🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context
🪙 MORPHO
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 11:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
10:00–11:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
11:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
12:16 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$2.3966
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $1,391,322
Synced: 10-16 12:02 +1h
← Prev (10-16 10:00) Next (10-16 12:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.4702
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 10:46:09 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium-0.00000321
Settled at: 2026-10-16 11:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)2,848,953.40
OI (USD)$6,851,163
Mark price$2.4048
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$1,433,243
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 10:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -1.088%
Change 4h -1.143%
Change 24h -0.314%
Z-score 7d -0.79
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 100.0% top
Percentile 30d 83.8%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -3.476%
Divergence -1.70
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
4.439
OI / Vol z-7d
0.00
OI momentum 4h
-1.620%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+917 crowded
Time: 2026-10-16 10:00:00 OI observed: 09:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 10:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 136 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329566
 fresh 15h ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate fading 0.545 compression bull_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% early 20b -0.3ATR — — 1.12 75% ↓ -0.33 above_value +1.02 — #163527 0.50 bull_high +7.23% -0.73
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:29
 ↗
4h
#334675
 fresh 3h ↔ neutral range range moderate fading 0.420 expansion range_high
40%
noisy_chop 32% mid 11b 1.0ATR — near -0.5ATR 0.93 50% ↑ +0.37 above_value +2.70 — #165833 0.52 range_high -0.58% +0.50
16/10 04:00
upd 16/10 08:20
 ↗
1h anchor
#335879
 fresh 0s ↔ neutral transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.686 compression range_high
37%
noisy_chop 38% mid 7b -1.1ATR near -1.4ATR — 1.07 67% ↔ +0.08 above_value -0.42 — #166418 0.71 range_medium -0.52% -0.06
16/10 10:00
upd 16/10 11:11
 ↗
15m
#335723
 fresh 15min ↓ down range range strong explosive 0.271 normal range_medium
41%
noisy_chop 50% late 2b -1.8ATR — — 0.71 56% ↑ +0.80 value +0.64 — #166253 0.73 range_low +0.25% -0.17
16/10 10:30
upd 16/10 10:47
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#205416
 fresh 2026-10-16 10:00 0s 0.498 0.477 53/84 2026-10-16 11:00 2026-10-16 11:36
4h
#205168
 fresh 2026-10-16 04:00 3h 0.585 0.566 13/84 2026-10-16 08:00 2026-10-16 08:39
1d
#203901
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 15h 0.444 0.496 59/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#166336
 fresh 2026-10-16 10:45 0s $2.4200 $2.4704 $2.3955 lvn LVN -1.69 5.39
7d
#166418
 fresh 2026-10-16 10:00 0s $2.4096 $2.4483 $2.2883 hvn -0.42 5.16
30d
#165917
 fresh 2026-10-16 04:00 3h $2.7114 $2.8182 $2.4464 hvn -3.29 5.37

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
inside $2.3900 → $2.4002 0.42% 0.73 0.80 continuation_down ✓ inside +0.00
below $2.4427 → $2.4510 0.34% 0.60 0.67 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.046078 -3.32
below $2.4565 → $2.4658 0.38% 0.67 0.80 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.059940 -4.31

Prix observé : $2.3966. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.2233 → $2.2683 2.00% 1.45 0.64 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.128300 +4.14
below $2.4933 → $2.5233 1.20% 0.97 0.75 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.096700 -3.12

Prix observé : $2.3966. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $2.0351 → $2.1300 4.56% 1.37 0.81 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.266580 +3.85
above $2.1379 → $2.2249 3.99% 1.26 0.81 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.171660 +2.48
below $2.9052 → $2.9843 2.69% 1.14 0.77 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.508600 -7.34

Prix observé : $2.3966. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:46:09+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 831,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T14:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}