Observation #38707

← Research Observations / #38707

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.8080

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,240,213

Synced: 10-16 14:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 12:00) Next (10-16 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0898

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 12:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00022560

Settled at: 2026-10-16 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,404,716.40

OI (USD)$9,760,377

Mark price$1.8059

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,133,284

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 12:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.301%

Change 4h -0.047%

Change 24h -4.099%

Z-score 7d -0.25

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001184%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -3.414%

Divergence -2.32 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

7.332

OI / Vol z-7d

0.71

OI momentum 4h

+0.437%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

+20 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 160 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329570	fresh	17h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.455	compression	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 47b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.11	68%	↓ -0.32	above_value	-0.64	—	#163528	0.48	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.75	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:29	↗
4h #336360	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.387	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 9b -0.9ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.48	13%	↔ +0.03	below_value	-3.15	inside	#166583	0.54	bear_high	-2.09%	-0.16	16/10 08:00 upd 16/10 12:18	↗
1h anchor #336764	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.283	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 47%	late 8b -2.7ATR	near -1.8ATR	—	1.86	70%	↑ +0.22	below_value	-3.87	—	#166830	0.74	bear_medium	-1.15%	-0.28	16/10 12:00 upd 16/10 13:11	↗
15m #336689	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.399	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	51%	noisy_chop 49%	late 6b -2.8ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	1.43	65%	↑ +0.49	below_value	-3.15	—	#166583	0.72	range_low	-0.74%	-0.29	16/10 12:45 upd 16/10 13:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205663	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	0s	0.461	0.324	61/81	2026-10-16 13:00	2026-10-16 13:36
4h #205582	fresh	2026-10-16 08:00	1h	0.432	0.287	52/82	2026-10-16 12:00	2026-10-16 12:38
1d #203902	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	17h	0.364	0.360	76/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #166748	fresh	2026-10-16 12:45	0s	$1.8732	$1.8902	$1.8657	lvn LVN	-5.40	2.03
7d #166830	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	0s	$1.8887	$1.9355	$1.8621	between	-3.87	3.52
30d #166666	fresh	2026-10-16 08:00	1h	$2.0486	$2.2120	$1.9584	between	-4.47	5.21

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.8002 → $1.8120	0.66%	0.98	0.78	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$1.8326 → $1.8507	0.99%	1.50	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.024556	-2.03

Prix observé : $1.8080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7392 → $1.7851	2.60%	2.20	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022946	+1.10

Prix observé : $1.8080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$1.7000 → $1.8170	6.65%	2.41	0.82	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$2.2558 → $2.2851	1.29%	0.60	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.447845	-9.21

Prix observé : $1.8080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T16:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T16:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}