Observation #38816

← Research Observations / #38816

🪙 ETH page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ETH

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 15:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

14:00–15:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

15:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

16:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2,405.20

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,014,143,334

Synced: 10-16 16:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 14:00) Next (10-16 16:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ETH — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0314

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 14:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000701%

Annualized-6.14%

Premium-0.00055612

Settled at: 2026-10-16 15:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,076,188.90

OI (USD)$2,581,992,412

Mark price$2,399.20

Funding next-0.000687%

Day vol (USD)$1,112,717,284

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 14:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.428%

Change 4h -1.085%

Change 24h +2.200%

Z-score 7d -0.74

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000847%

Avg 24h 0.001130%

Percentile 7d 4.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.0%

Δ 4h -0.001865%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.176%

Divergence -0.89

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.422

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.26

OI momentum 4h

-0.561%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-16 14:00:00 OI observed: 13:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 14:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329289	fresh	19h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.580	normal	bull_high	48%	noisy_chop 37%	early 24b -1.2ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.65	93%	↑ +0.37	value	-2.77	—	#163466	0.91	bull_high	+7.12%	-0.64	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:16	↗
4h #336226	fresh	3h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.375	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 37%	early 9b -0.5ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.90	66%	↔ +0.03	below_value	-3.81	—	#166528	0.87	bear_high	-2.09%	-0.09	16/10 08:00 upd 16/10 12:12	↗
1h anchor #337499	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	balanced	0.502	normal	bear_high_confirmed	57%	noisy_chop 42%	mid 4b -1.6ATR	—	—	1.37	73%	↑ +0.72	below_value	-4.70	—	#167104	0.89	bear_medium_confirmed	-1.43%	-0.05	16/10 14:00 upd 16/10 15:09	↗
15m #337429	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.275	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 47%	mid 5b -1.6ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	1.53	89%	↑ +0.35	below_value	-4.46	—	#166940	0.88	bear_low	-0.93%	-0.11	16/10 14:45 upd 16/10 15:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205772	fresh	2026-10-16 14:00	0s	0.527	0.407	22/82	2026-10-16 15:00	2026-10-16 15:35
4h #205527	fresh	2026-10-16 08:00	3h	0.504	0.345	21/82	2026-10-16 12:00	2026-10-16 12:37
1d #203840	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	19h	0.542	0.415	28/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #167022	fresh	2026-10-16 14:45	0s	$2,455.62	$2,475.52	$2,423.03	between	-3.56	3.71
7d #167104	fresh	2026-10-16 14:00	0s	$2,506.68	$2,553.93	$2,428.67	between	-4.70	5.80
30d #166611	fresh	2026-10-16 08:00	3h	$2,696.04	$2,780.62	$2,508.31	between	-5.85	6.29

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2,416.25 → $2,423.87	0.31%	0.54	0.57	continuation_down	✓	↓ $11.0533	-0.78
below	$2,481.45 → $2,493.30	0.48%	0.84	0.52	continuation_up	✓	↓ $76.2467	-5.39

Prix observé : $2,405.20. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,314.40 → $2,340.77	1.13%	1.22	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $64.4300	+2.98
above	$2,380.33 → $2,395.71	0.64%	0.71	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $9.4925	+0.44
below	$2,553.93 → $2,578.10	0.94%	1.12	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $148.73	-6.88

Prix observé : $2,405.20. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2,314.40 → $2,401.04	3.67%	2.00	0.73	continuation_down	✓	↑ $4.1575	+0.10
below	$2,776.49 → $2,809.50	1.18%	0.76	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $371.29	-8.57

Prix observé : $2,405.20. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T18:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T18:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}