Observation #38960

← Research Observations / #38960

🪙 MEGA page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MEGA

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.046145

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,014,344

Synced: 10-16 17:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 15:00) Next (10-16 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MEGA — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1321

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 15:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000181

Settled at: 2026-10-16 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)174,390,998.00

OI (USD)$8,046,575

Mark price$0.046141

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,146,964

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.933%

Change 4h -0.605%

Change 24h +1.463%

Z-score 7d —

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 95.8% top

Percentile 30d 77.1%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.073%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.646

OI / Vol z-7d

—

OI momentum 4h

-1.583%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1270 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 15:00:00 OI observed: 14:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 15:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 72 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329639	fresh	20h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.661	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 13b 0.2ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	1.54	78%	↑ +0.32	value	-1.09	—	#163544	0.40	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.00	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:33	↗
4h #338053	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	strong	explosive	0.783	expansion	bull_high	63%	noisy_chop 38%	early 7b 0.2ATR	—	near -0.7ATR	2.35	91%	↑ +0.79	above_value	-1.02	—	#167333	0.43	bear_high	-1.79%	+0.59	16/10 12:00 upd 16/10 16:18	↗
1h anchor #338052	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.639	compression	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 45%	early 8b 0.0ATR	near 0.1ATR	near -0.6ATR	0.49	55%	↑ +0.66	above_value	-1.02	—	#167333	0.53	bear_medium	-0.89%	+0.20	16/10 15:00 upd 16/10 16:18	↗
15m #337878	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	explosive	0.726	normal	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 10b 0.5ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.07	5%	↓ -0.52	above_value	-0.93	—	#167173	0.41	range_low	-0.36%	+0.01	16/10 15:45 upd 16/10 16:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #205920	fresh	2026-10-16 15:00	0s	0.512	0.550	37/79	2026-10-16 16:00
4h #205999	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	0s	0.611	0.580	6/79	2026-10-16 16:00
1d #203917	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	20h	0.585	0.713	19/85	2026-10-15 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #167253	fresh	2026-10-16 15:45	0s	$0.046026	$0.046977	$0.045486	hvn	0.25	3.11
7d #167333	fresh	2026-10-16 15:00	0s	$0.046975	$0.048048	$0.044173	hvn	-1.02	4.01
30d #167413	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	0s	$0.046149	$0.048470	$0.039560	hvn	-0.17	4.53

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.047474 → $0.047912	0.92%	0.92	0.82	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.001329	-2.78

Prix observé : $0.046145. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.040505 → $0.041820	3.19%	1.36	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004325	+4.47
below	$0.048325 → $0.048809	1.00%	0.50	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002180	-2.26

Prix observé : $0.046145. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.033991 → $0.039003	13.73%	2.55	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007142	+3.63

Prix observé : $0.046145. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}