Observation #38970

← Research Observations / #38970

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 16:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

15:00–16:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

16:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

17:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.316710

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,330,054

Synced: 10-16 17:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 15:00) Next (10-16 17:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1321

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 15:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00001716

Settled at: 2026-10-16 16:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)92,551,220.00

OI (USD)$29,297,089

Mark price$0.316550

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$7,451,359

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 15:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #332187	fresh	20h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 47%	—	—	—	0.91	22%	↔ -0.13	above_value	-0.15	—	#164746	—	bull_high	+7.23%	-1.00	14/10 20:00 upd 16/10 02:23	↗
4h #338083	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.560	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	68%	noisy_chop 42%	early 6b -0.5ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.83	36%	↓ -0.52	value	+3.54	inside	#167343	—	bear_high	-1.79%	+0.89	16/10 12:00 upd 16/10 16:20	↗
1h anchor #338082	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.517	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 42%	late 7b -1.8ATR	—	—	0.92	37%	↑ +0.48	value	+3.54	inside	#167343	0.46	bear_medium	-0.89%	-0.42	16/10 15:00 upd 16/10 16:20	↗
15m #337814	fresh	15min	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.391	expansion_after_compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 8b -1.4ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.06	1%	↓ -0.49	value	+3.70	—	#167183	—	range_low	-0.65%	-0.53	16/10 15:30 upd 16/10 15:48	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #205930	fresh	2026-10-16 15:00	0s	0.437	0.334	66/79	2026-10-16 16:00	2026-10-16 16:37
4h #206009	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	0s	0.276	0.204	74/79	2026-10-16 16:00	2026-10-16 16:39
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #167263	fresh	2026-10-16 15:45	0s	$0.340543	$0.346571	$0.326868	between	-5.03	4.16
7d #167343	fresh	2026-10-16 15:00	0s	$0.284880	$0.339770	$0.280990	value	3.54	6.83
30d #167423	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	0s	$0.627554	$0.776420	$0.411593	between	-15.28	18.05

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.345395 → $0.348630	0.93%	0.68	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.028685	-6.05

Prix observé : $0.316710. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.273210 → $0.280125	2.50%	0.80	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.036585	+4.25
below	$0.357058 → $0.364838	2.16%	0.90	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.040348	-4.69
below	$0.365703 → $0.376940	3.03%	1.31	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.048993	-5.69

Prix observé : $0.316710. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.428366 → $0.508041	17.02%	3.94	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.111656	-5.53
below	$0.734486 → $0.776420	5.55%	2.08	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.417776	-20.67

Prix observé : $0.316710. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T19:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}