Observation #38975

← Research Observations / #38975

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 17:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

16:00–17:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

17:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

18:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$9.9760

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,305,240

Synced: 10-16 18:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 16:00) Next (10-16 18:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2885

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 16:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000411%

Annualized3.60%

Premium-0.00046715

Settled at: 2026-10-16 17:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,191,119.18

OI (USD)$21,878,106

Mark price$9.9849

Funding next0.000381%

Day vol (USD)$4,280,574

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 16:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.074%

Change 4h -0.322%

Change 24h +0.799%

Z-score 7d 0.17

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000658%

Avg 24h 0.000551%

Percentile 7d 15.5%

Percentile 30d 6.7%

Δ 4h -0.001042%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.558%

Divergence -0.56

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.028

OI / Vol z-7d

0.06

OI momentum 4h

-0.587%

Funding +ratio 24h

72.0%

Sign streak

-4

Time: 2026-10-16 16:00:00 OI observed: 15:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 16:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329307	fresh	21h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.540	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 33%	early 16b -0.5ATR	near -1.9ATR	—	0.81	87%	↓ -0.41	value	-2.14	—	#163469	0.71	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.36	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:17	↗
4h #337895	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.382	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 32%	early 2b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.48	22%	↔ -0.13	above_value	-2.16	—	#167268	0.58	bear_high	-1.79%	-0.03	16/10 12:00 upd 16/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #338352	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.603	expansion	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 10b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.42	20%	↔ -0.00	above_value	-2.42	—	#167507	0.70	range_medium	-0.70%	+0.01	16/10 16:00 upd 16/10 17:09	↗
15m #338286	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.604	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 42%	early 8b -0.8ATR	near 0.0ATR	—	0.32	17%	↓ -0.59	above_value	-2.16	—	#167268	0.79	range_low	-0.17%	-0.15	16/10 16:45 upd 16/10 17:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206014	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	0s	0.494	0.480	33/78	2026-10-16 17:00	2026-10-16 17:35
4h #205935	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	1h	0.458	0.339	43/79	2026-10-16 16:00	2026-10-16 16:37
1d #203843	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	21h	0.474	0.583	50/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #167428	fresh	2026-10-16 16:45	0s	$10.0344	$10.3155	$9.9192	hvn	-0.89	6.07
7d #167507	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	0s	$10.2875	$10.7406	$9.7303	hvn	-2.42	7.85
30d #167348	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	1h	$11.0576	$11.4696	$10.3316	between	-4.07	4.08

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.8764 → $9.9407	0.65%	0.98	0.70	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.035340	+0.54
below	$10.4226 → $10.5190	0.92%	1.48	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.446610	-6.84

Prix observé : $9.9760. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.3292 → $9.4778	1.58%	1.15	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.498233	+3.87
above	$9.6858 → $9.7749	0.92%	0.69	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.201100	+1.56
below	$10.6514 → $10.8000	1.39%	1.15	0.67	reversion	✓	↓ $0.675443	-5.25

Prix observé : $9.9760. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.3100 → $7.4670	2.12%	0.56	0.97	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.5090	+9.00
above	$7.6632 → $7.8986	3.03%	0.84	0.96	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.0774	+7.45
above	$8.2910 → $9.0759	9.04%	2.82	0.93	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.900125	+3.23

Prix observé : $9.9760. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T20:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T21:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T20:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T20:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}