Observation #39127

← Research Observations / #39127

🪙 AVAX page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AVAX

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$9.9702

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,250,936

Synced: 10-16 20:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 18:00) Next (10-16 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AVAX — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.566

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 18:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000905%

Annualized7.92%

Premium-0.00042763

Settled at: 2026-10-16 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,194,626.12

OI (USD)$21,885,031

Mark price$9.9721

Funding next0.000898%

Day vol (USD)$4,343,072

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.140%

Change 4h -0.121%

Change 24h +0.609%

Z-score 7d 0.45

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000466%

Avg 24h 0.000486%

Percentile 7d 36.9%

Percentile 30d 15.3%

Δ 4h +0.002208%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.289%

Divergence -0.21

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

5.062

OI / Vol z-7d

0.07

OI momentum 4h

+0.082%

Funding +ratio 24h

72.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-16 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329307	fresh	23h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.540	normal	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 33%	early 16b -0.5ATR	near -1.9ATR	—	0.81	87%	↓ -0.41	value	-2.14	—	#163469	0.71	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.36	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:17	↗
4h #337895	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.382	normal	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 32%	early 2b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.48	22%	↔ -0.13	above_value	-2.16	—	#167268	0.58	bear_high	-1.79%	-0.03	16/10 12:00 upd 16/10 16:12	↗
1h anchor #339095	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.540	normal	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 12b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.43	19%	↔ -0.09	value	-2.63	—	#167815	0.71	range_medium	-0.58%	+0.02	16/10 18:00 upd 16/10 19:08	↗
15m #339030	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.645	compression	bear_medium	54%	noisy_chop 40%	early 9b -0.7ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.24	3%	↔ +0.07	value	-2.82	—	#167663	0.79	range_low	-0.06%	-0.10	16/10 18:45 upd 16/10 19:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206168	fresh	2026-10-16 18:00	0s	0.502	0.488	34/76	2026-10-16 19:00	2026-10-16 19:35
4h #205935	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	3h	0.458	0.339	43/79	2026-10-16 16:00	2026-10-16 16:37
1d #203843	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	23h	0.474	0.583	50/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #167740	fresh	2026-10-16 18:45	0s	$9.9808	$10.3102	$9.9192	hvn	-0.21	7.78
7d #167815	fresh	2026-10-16 18:00	0s	$10.2875	$10.7406	$9.7303	value	-2.63	8.37
30d #167348	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	3h	$11.0576	$11.4696	$10.3316	between	-4.07	4.08

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.8764 → $9.9300	0.54%	1.07	0.72	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.040250	+0.80
below	$10.4226 → $10.5190	0.92%	1.92	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.452410	-9.01

Prix observé : $9.9702. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$9.3292 → $9.4778	1.58%	1.23	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.492433	+4.08
above	$9.6858 → $9.7749	0.92%	0.74	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.195300	+1.62
below	$10.6514 → $10.8000	1.39%	1.23	0.67	reversion	✓	↓ $0.681243	-5.64

Prix observé : $9.9702. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$7.3100 → $7.4670	2.12%	0.56	0.97	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.5032	+8.98
above	$7.6632 → $7.8986	3.03%	0.84	0.96	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.0716	+7.43
above	$8.2910 → $9.0759	9.04%	2.82	0.93	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.894325	+3.21

Prix observé : $9.9702. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}