Observation #39174

← Research Observations / #39174

🪙 MORPHO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 MORPHO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$2.3810

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,625,563

Synced: 10-16 20:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 18:00) Next (10-16 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · MORPHO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.566

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 18:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00000101

Settled at: 2026-10-16 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)2,673,609.80

OI (USD)$6,369,768

Mark price$2.3825

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,627,263

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.019%

Change 4h -5.621%

Change 24h -6.518%

Z-score 7d 0.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 83.8%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +1.996%

Divergence 3.14 fort

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.850

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.34

OI momentum 4h

-5.031%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+925 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 136 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #329566	fresh	23h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.545	compression	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 40%	early 20b -0.3ATR	—	—	1.12	75%	↓ -0.33	above_value	+1.02	—	#163527	0.50	bull_high	+7.23%	-0.73	14/10 20:00 upd 15/10 20:29	↗
4h #338005	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	fading	0.482	expansion	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 31%	early 3b -0.5ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	2.50	82%	↑ +0.70	above_value	-1.81	—	#167317	0.53	bear_high	-1.79%	+0.26	16/10 12:00 upd 16/10 16:17	↗
1h anchor #339144	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.355	normal	range_high	41%	noisy_chop 44%	early 4b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.10	7%	↑ +0.48	value	-0.90	—	#167863	0.72	range_medium	-0.58%	-0.12	16/10 18:00 upd 16/10 19:10	↗
15m #338999	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.501	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 39%	late 15b 0.9ATR	—	—	0.01	1%	↓ -0.97	value	-1.32	—	#167712	0.77	range_low	-0.11%	-0.05	16/10 18:30 upd 16/10 18:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206217	fresh	2026-10-16 18:00	0s	0.535	0.507	12/76	2026-10-16 19:00	2026-10-16 19:36
4h #205984	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	3h	0.557	0.366	13/79	2026-10-16 16:00	2026-10-16 16:38
1d #203901	fresh	2026-10-14 20:00	23h	0.444	0.496	59/85	2026-10-15 20:00	2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #167788	fresh	2026-10-16 18:45	0s	$2.4770	$2.5009	$2.3498	value	-7.45	11.72
7d #167863	fresh	2026-10-16 18:00	0s	$2.4096	$2.4408	$2.2883	value	-0.90	4.83
30d #167397	fresh	2026-10-16 12:00	3h	$2.7104	$2.8223	$2.4520	between	-5.13	5.10

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$2.3837 → $2.4099	1.09%	2.03	0.83	reversion	✓	↓ $0.002733	-0.21
below	$2.4408 → $2.4562	0.63%	1.20	0.81	reversion	✓	↓ $0.059775	-4.64

Prix observé : $2.3810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.2233 → $2.2683	2.00%	1.42	0.66	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.112700	+3.57
below	$2.4933 → $2.5233	1.20%	0.95	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.112300	-3.55

Prix observé : $2.3810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$2.0586 → $2.1280	3.32%	0.96	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.252972	+3.48
above	$2.1357 → $2.2283	4.24%	1.27	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.152688	+2.10
below	$2.8994 → $2.9843	2.88%	1.17	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.518444	-7.14

Prix observé : $2.3810. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}