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← Research Observations / #39182
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-16 19:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
18:00–19:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
19:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
20:16 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.083069
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $12,008,035
Synced: 10-16 20:02 +1h
← Prev (10-16 18:00) Next (10-16 20:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationmixed_dispersion
Leadershipmixed
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.566
evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 18:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00006118
Settled at: 2026-10-16 19:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)764,559,248.00
OI (USD)$63,533,344
Mark price$0.083098
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$12,500,025
Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 18:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.027%
Change 4h +0.059%
Change 24h +3.511%
Z-score 7d -0.05
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001295%
Percentile 7d 98.8% top
Percentile 30d 82.1%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑
Price Δ 4h +0.761%
Divergence 0.46
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
4.845
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.47
OI momentum 4h
+1.356%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+36 crowded
Time: 2026-10-16 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#329616
 fresh 23h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.387 compression bear_high
51%
noisy_chop 41% mid 20b -0.5ATR near -0.5ATR — 1.45 93% ↓ -0.69 value +3.22 — #163537 0.54 bull_high +7.23% -0.99
14/10 20:00
upd 15/10 20:32
 ↗
4h
#338035
 fresh 3h ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.415 expansion bear_high
63%
noisy_chop 36% early 6b -0.1ATR near 0.5ATR — 0.58 37% ↑ +0.59 above_value +1.98 — #167327 0.55 bear_high -1.79% +0.52
16/10 12:00
upd 16/10 16:18
 ↗
1h anchor
#339152
 fresh 0s ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.371 compression range_high
38%
noisy_chop 39% early 5b -0.5ATR — — 0.10 6% ↓ -0.72 above_value +2.54 — #167871 0.61 range_medium -0.58% -0.17
16/10 18:00
upd 16/10 19:11
 ↗
15m
#339080
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.375 compression range_medium
41%
noisy_chop 37% early 11b 0.2ATR — — 0.35 7% ↓ -0.74 value +2.63 — #167720 0.52 range_low -0.06% +0.04
16/10 18:45
upd 16/10 19:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#206224
 fresh 2026-10-16 18:00 0s 0.497 0.504 40/76 2026-10-16 19:00 2026-10-16 19:36
4h
#205993
 fresh 2026-10-16 12:00 3h 0.470 0.376 39/79 2026-10-16 16:00 2026-10-16 16:39
1d
#203910
 fresh 2026-10-14 20:00 23h 0.451 0.439 57/85 2026-10-15 20:00 2026-10-15 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#167796
 fresh 2026-10-16 18:45 0s $0.085427 $0.086333 $0.083346 between -4.84 6.13
7d
#167871
 fresh 2026-10-16 18:00 0s $0.080026 $0.086410 $0.079097 hvn 2.54 6.09
30d
#167407
 fresh 2026-10-16 12:00 3h $0.095869 $0.107105 $0.079546 value -4.60 9.34

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.081045 → $0.081828 0.96% 1.61 0.82 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.001241 +2.55
below $0.086332 → $0.086920 0.68% 1.21 0.78 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.003263 -6.69

Prix observé : $0.083069. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.076989 2.78% 1.76 0.80 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.006080 +5.07
below $0.088270 → $0.089757 1.67% 1.24 0.75 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.005201 -4.33

Prix observé : $0.083069. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.079546 6.04% 1.58 0.76 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.003523 +1.19
below $0.117704 → $0.125760 6.62% 2.73 0.73 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.034635 -11.73

Prix observé : $0.083069. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-16T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}