Observation #39326

← Research Observations / #39326

🪙 TRUMP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 TRUMP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$1.8217

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,094,792

Synced: 10-16 22:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 20:00) Next (10-17 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · TRUMP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.5513

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 20:46:08 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001012%

Annualized-8.87%

Premium-0.00058099

Settled at: 2026-10-16 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)5,321,406.40

OI (USD)$9,682,831

Mark price$1.8196

Funding next-0.000899%

Day vol (USD)$1,107,344

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 20:55:06

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.004%

Change 4h -0.002%

Change 24h -4.373%

Z-score 7d 0.10

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000492%

Avg 24h 0.001127%

Percentile 7d 3.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 14.6%

Δ 4h -0.001742%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.680%

Divergence 0.25

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.471

OI / Vol z-7d

1.12

OI momentum 4h

+1.704%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-16 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 160 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339710	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.456	compression	bear_high	48%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 48b -1.1ATR	—	—	0.33	9%	↓ -0.35	below_value	-3.81	—	#168013	0.48	bull_high	+6.29%	-0.82	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:24	↗
4h #339575	fresh	1h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.412	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 36%	early 3b -0.7ATR	near -0.6ATR	—	0.11	1%	↓ -0.40	below_value	-3.81	inside	#168013	0.56	bear_high	-1.70%	-0.20	16/10 16:00 upd 16/10 20:17	↗
1h anchor #340020	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.358	compression	bear_high	61%	noisy_chop 45%	early 7b -0.7ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.22	8%	↓ -0.57	below_value	-3.74	—	#168238	0.75	bear_medium	-0.83%	-0.22	16/10 20:00 upd 16/10 21:10	↗
15m #339951	fresh	0s	↓ down	pullback	bear_trend	moderate	grind	0.498	compression	bear_medium	57%	noisy_chop 41%	late 24b 0.5ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.31	4%	↑ +0.52	below_value	-3.81	—	#168013	0.73	range_low	-0.29%	+0.07	16/10 20:45 upd 16/10 21:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206516	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	0s	0.491	0.432	36/74	2026-10-16 21:00	2026-10-16 21:36
4h #206367	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	1h	0.464	0.397	36/75	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:38
1d #206441	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	1h	0.266	0.221	71/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #168163	fresh	2026-10-16 20:45	0s	$1.8728	$1.8949	$1.8162	value	-7.82	12.04
7d #168238	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	0s	$1.8887	$1.9373	$1.8621	between	-3.74	4.20
30d #168088	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	1h	$2.0486	$2.2120	$1.9633	between	-4.88	5.29

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7769 → $1.7907	0.77%	2.11	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.031033	+4.75
below	$1.8330 → $1.8398	0.37%	1.05	0.86	reversion	✓	↓ $0.011250	-1.72
below	$1.8408 → $1.8497	0.48%	1.35	0.79	reversion	✓	↓ $0.019117	-2.93

Prix observé : $1.8217. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7392 → $1.7832	2.50%	2.46	0.82	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.038480	+2.15

Prix observé : $1.8217. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$1.7000 → $1.8170	6.65%	2.49	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004680	+0.10
below	$2.2558 → $2.2851	1.29%	0.62	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.434145	-9.23

Prix observé : $1.8217. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T00:46:08+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 832,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T00:55:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 294,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}