Observation #39363

← Research Observations / #39363

🪙 LINK page 📊 Market Context

🪙 LINK

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$12.3020

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,535,906

Synced: 10-16 23:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 21:00) Next (10-16 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · LINK — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3922

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 21:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001127%

Annualized9.87%

Premium-0.00040986

Settled at: 2026-10-16 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)4,948,466.80

OI (USD)$60,861,688

Mark price$12.2991

Funding next0.001165%

Day vol (USD)$6,499,675

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 21:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.145%

Change 4h +0.210%

Change 24h +1.493%

Z-score 7d 0.33

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000717%

Avg 24h 0.000918%

Percentile 7d 23.2%

Percentile 30d 16.8%

Δ 4h -0.000533%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.253%

Divergence -0.09

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

9.329

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.12

OI momentum 4h

-0.675%

Funding +ratio 24h

92.0%

Sign streak

Time: 2026-10-16 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339601	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.672	normal	bull_high	49%	noisy_chop 37%	mid 17b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.35	58%	↓ -0.70	value	-4.61	—	#167976	0.83	bull_high	+6.29%	-0.77	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:18	↗
4h #339485	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.483	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.24	5%	↔ -0.01	value	-4.61	—	#167976	0.74	bear_high	-1.70%	-0.21	16/10 16:00 upd 16/10 20:13	↗
1h anchor #340344	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.374	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 42%	early 8b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.15	6%	↓ -0.68	value	-5.38	—	#168351	0.84	bear_medium	-0.85%	-0.06	16/10 21:00 upd 16/10 22:10	↗
15m #340280	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.655	compression	range_low	37%	noisy_chop 33%	early 11b -0.7ATR	—	near -0.4ATR	0.50	11%	↓ -0.41	value	-5.15	—	#168201	0.90	range_low	-0.31%	+0.02	16/10 21:45 upd 16/10 22:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206553	fresh	2026-10-16 21:00	0s	0.482	0.457	35/74	2026-10-16 22:00	2026-10-16 22:35
4h #206329	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	2h	0.456	0.379	39/75	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:37
1d #206403	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	2h	0.360	0.401	49/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #168276	fresh	2026-10-16 21:45	0s	$12.5845	$12.7557	$12.3419	hvn	-7.48	10.95
7d #168351	fresh	2026-10-16 21:00	0s	$12.9064	$13.1674	$12.2645	value	-5.38	8.04
30d #168051	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	2h	$14.1580	$15.4572	$13.0187	between	-6.48	8.69

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$12.1580 → $12.2346	0.63%	2.03	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.067375	+1.78
below	$12.4747 → $12.5207	0.37%	1.22	0.65	reversion	✓	↓ $0.172717	-4.57
below	$12.7506 → $12.7710	0.16%	0.54	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.448567	-11.88

Prix observé : $12.3020. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$11.8130 → $11.9823	1.42%	1.51	0.74	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.319700	+2.85
above	$12.1234 → $12.2504	1.04%	1.13	0.50	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.051642	+0.46
below	$13.1815 → $13.2662	0.64%	0.75	0.57	reversion	✓	↓ $0.879508	-7.83

Prix observé : $12.3020. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$10.9800 → $11.9794	8.71%	3.56	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.322625	+1.15
below	$15.5771 → $15.7770	1.28%	0.71	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $3.2751	-11.67

Prix observé : $12.3020. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T01:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T01:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}