Observation #39414

← Research Observations / #39414

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.876720

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $6,477,176

Synced: 10-16 23:02 +1h

← Prev (10-16 21:00) Next (10-16 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3922

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 21:46:07 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00002238

Settled at: 2026-10-16 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,663,248.00

OI (USD)$33,839,621

Mark price$0.875240

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$7,242,826

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 21:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.071%

Change 4h +0.133%

Change 24h +0.994%

Z-score 7d -0.12

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 69.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.713%

Divergence -0.45

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.512

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.79

OI momentum 4h

+1.099%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+45 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:06 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339742	fresh	2h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.618	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 34%	early 14b 0.5ATR	—	near -0.2ATR	1.15	93%	↔ +0.04	value	-1.44	—	#168028	0.64	bull_high	+6.29%	+0.45	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:26	↗
4h #339636	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.605	expansion	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 38%	early 4b -0.4ATR	—	—	0.30	17%	↑ +0.39	value	-1.44	—	#168028	0.50	bear_high	-1.70%	+0.12	16/10 16:00 upd 16/10 20:20	↗
1h anchor #340396	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.346	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 49%	early 8b -0.9ATR	—	—	0.62	46%	↓ -0.61	value	-1.71	—	#168403	0.59	bear_medium	-0.85%	-0.49	16/10 21:00 upd 16/10 22:12	↗
15m #340324	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	fading	0.395	compression	bear_medium	56%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.65	20%	↑ +0.22	value	-1.94	—	#168253	0.65	range_low	-0.31%	+0.08	16/10 21:45 upd 16/10 22:04	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206604	fresh	2026-10-16 21:00	0s	0.462	0.412	55/74	2026-10-16 22:00	2026-10-16 22:37
4h #206380	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	2h	0.471	0.529	32/75	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:39
1d #206454	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	2h	0.564	0.728	11/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #168328	fresh	2026-10-16 21:45	0s	$0.874542	$0.924933	$0.855320	hvn	0.49	15.55
7d #168403	fresh	2026-10-16 21:00	0s	$0.903173	$0.945900	$0.866896	value	-1.71	5.29
30d #168103	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	2h	$0.802158	$0.938315	$0.766720	value	2.06	4.58

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.855320 → $0.859476	0.48%	0.93	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.017244	+3.85
below	$0.889607 → $0.905192	1.74%	3.48	0.81	reversion	✓	↓ $0.012887	-2.88
below	$0.937401 → $0.941557	0.44%	0.93	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.060681	-13.56
below	$0.972727 → $0.980000	0.74%	1.62	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.096007	-21.45

Prix observé : $0.876720. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.800790 → $0.839486	4.72%	2.59	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.037234	+2.49
below	$0.984596 → $0.994270	0.98%	0.65	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.107876	-7.23

Prix observé : $0.876720. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.546630 → $0.583933	6.60%	0.99	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.292787	+7.81
above	$0.598855 → $0.632428	5.45%	0.90	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.244292	+6.51
above	$0.736877 → $0.762989	3.48%	0.70	0.89	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.113731	+3.03

Prix observé : $0.876720. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T01:46:07+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 833,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T01:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}