Observation #39423

← Research Observations / #39423

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,457.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,760,209,060

Synced: 10-17 00:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 22:00) Next (10-17 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.268

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 22:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00029510

Settled at: 2026-10-16 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,137.35

OI (USD)$3,350,842,742

Mark price$81,455.00

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,842,608,461

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 22:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.006%

Change 4h -0.277%

Change 24h -1.069%

Z-score 7d -0.05

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001240%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 97.2%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.373%

Divergence -0.18

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.183

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.58

OI momentum 4h

+0.420%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+36 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339545	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.556	normal	bull_high	60%	noisy_chop 33%	early 25b -0.6ATR	—	—	1.24	72%	↑ +0.21	below_value	-3.04	—	#167962	—	—	—	—	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:15	↗
4h #339457	fresh	3h	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.382	expansion	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 36%	early 3b -0.5ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.33	19%	↔ +0.10	above_value	-2.57	—	#167812	—	—	—	—	16/10 16:00 upd 16/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #340695	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.353	compression	bear_medium	61%	noisy_chop 40%	early 9b -0.5ATR	—	—	0.31	31%	↓ -0.42	below_value	-3.56	—	#168337	—	—	—	—	16/10 22:00 upd 16/10 23:05	↗
15m #340630	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.512	compression	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 40%	mid 17b -1.1ATR	near -0.4ATR	—	1.09	20%	↔ +0.03	below_value	-3.56	—	#168337	—	—	—	—	16/10 22:45 upd 16/10 23:00	↗
5m #340629	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	balanced	0.406	normal	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 45%	early 4b -0.7ATR	near -2.6ATR	—	1.15	30%	↑ +0.84	below_value	-3.56	—	#168337	—	—	—	—	16/10 22:55 upd 16/10 23:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #206613	fresh	2026-10-16 22:00	0s	0.474	0.465	38/74	2026-10-16 23:00	2026-10-16 23:35
4h #206315	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	3h	0.524	0.459	14/75	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:37
1d #206389	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	3h	0.551	0.510	15/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #168412	fresh	2026-10-16 22:45	0s	$81,542.68	$82,065.32	$80,878.30	hvn	-0.70	9.74
7d #168487	fresh	2026-10-16 22:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,360.21	$80,954.13	value	-0.50	5.91
30d #168037	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	3h	$83,504.29	$85,272.58	$80,875.75	value	-1.86	4.60

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$82,419.65 → $82,898.00	0.58%	3.92	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $962.65	-7.90

Prix observé : $81,457.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	2.25	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $808.40	+1.98
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	0.66	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,590.66	-6.36

Prix observé : $81,457.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,861.25 → $77,912.67	1.36%	1.10	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,544.33	+3.71
above	$78,390.58 → $80,015.50	2.05%	1.70	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,441.50	+1.51

Prix observé : $81,457.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	23:05	23:20	+0.01%	+0.01×	+0.09×	-0.04×	15m	5m	Low first	0.14	0.00%	+0.01%	9.85%	0.06%	$2.75M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	23:05	00:05	+0.08%	+0.17×	+0.48×	-0.04×	30m	5m	Low first	0.23	0.00%	+0.08%	16.41%	0.25%	$13.66M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	23:05	03:05	+0.23%	+0.47×	+0.51×	-0.04×	3h50m	5m	Low first	0.22	0.00%	+0.23%	10.81%	0.27%	$58.12M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	23:05	11:05	+0.13%	+0.26×	+0.82×	-0.04×	4h30m	5m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.13%	11.21%	0.41%	$211.15M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	23:05	23:05	+0.44%	+0.92×	+1.18×	-1.65×	22h40m	18h35m	Low first	0.04	0.00%	+0.44%	18.25%	1.37%	$843.82M	21:40 / —	17:30 / —	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}