Observation #39428

← Research Observations / #39428

🪙 OP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 OP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-16 23:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

22:00–23:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

23:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

00:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.137780

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,594,839

Synced: 10-17 00:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-16 22:00) Next (10-17 00:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · OP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.268

evaluated_at: 2026-10-16 22:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00002704

Settled at: 2026-10-16 23:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)34,091,783.60

OI (USD)$4,709,780

Mark price$0.138150

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,609,964

Snapshot at: 2026-10-16 22:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.403%

Change 4h -1.258%

Change 24h -0.988%

Z-score 7d -0.28

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 100.0%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↓ Price ↑ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h +0.518%

Divergence 0.57

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.937

OI / Vol z-7d

1.52

OI momentum 4h

-3.419%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+132 crowded

Time: 2026-10-16 22:00:00 OI observed: 21:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 22:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339565	fresh	3h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.701	expansion	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 38%	early 8b 0.3ATR	—	—	0.88	88%	↑ +0.64	above_value	-0.99	—	#167967	0.59	bull_high	+6.29%	-0.08	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:17	↗
4h #339467	fresh	3h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.705	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 44%	early 8b -0.2ATR	—	—	0.25	40%	↓ -0.84	above_value	-0.99	—	#167967	0.52	bear_high	-1.70%	-0.06	16/10 16:00 upd 16/10 20:12	↗
1h anchor #340700	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.664	compression	range_high	39%	noisy_chop 40%	early 9b 0.0ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.37	16%	↓ -0.28	above_value	-0.77	—	#168492	0.61	bear_medium	-0.89%	-0.08	16/10 22:00 upd 16/10 23:08	↗
15m #340635	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.586	compression	range_high	40%	noisy_chop 41%	early 3b 0.3ATR	near 0.1ATR	near 0.1ATR	0.16	7%	↔ +0.03	value	-1.29	—	#168342	0.66	range_low	-0.34%	+0.19	16/10 22:45 upd 16/10 23:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket
1h #206618	fresh	2026-10-16 22:00	0s	0.468	0.467	43/74	2026-10-16 23:00
4h #206320	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	3h	0.402	0.437	58/75	2026-10-16 20:00
1d #206394	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	3h	0.552	0.733	13/74	2026-10-16 20:00

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #168417	fresh	2026-10-16 22:45	0s	$0.137807	$0.139429	$0.135221	hvn	-0.03	4.06
7d #168492	fresh	2026-10-16 22:00	0s	$0.139630	$0.147994	$0.130961	hvn	-0.77	7.11
30d #168042	fresh	2026-10-16 16:00	3h	$0.138274	$0.145338	$0.122734	hvn	-0.12	3.86

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.133380 → $0.134870	1.11%	1.44	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002910	+2.81
below	$0.142760 → $0.143900	0.80%	1.10	0.88	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004980	-4.81

Prix observé : $0.137780. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.125790 → $0.130048	3.33%	1.78	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.007732	+3.23
above	$0.131569 → $0.133090	1.15%	0.64	0.58	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004690	+1.96
below	$0.147690 → $0.148907	0.82%	0.51	0.59	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.009910	-4.14
below	$0.160769 → $0.162290	0.94%	0.64	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.022989	-9.60

Prix observé : $0.137780. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.094480 → $0.108607	13.91%	2.41	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.029173	+4.98

Prix observé : $0.137780. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T03:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}