Observation #39915

← Research Observations / #39915

🪙 NIL page 📊 Market Context

🪙 NIL

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.085995

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,837,625

Synced: 10-17 06:02 +1h

← Prev (10-17 04:00) Next (10-17 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · NIL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.3404

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 04:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00002736

Settled at: 2026-10-17 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)72,906,058.00

OI (USD)$6,264,380

Mark price$0.085924

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$1,838,508

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 04:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +4.948%

Change 4h +5.306%

Change 24h +7.096%

Z-score 7d 3.01 extrême

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 97.6% top

Percentile 30d 74.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.909%

Divergence -1.86

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.492

OI / Vol z-7d

1.41

OI momentum 4h

+4.882%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+1164 crowded

Time: 2026-10-17 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339716	fresh	9h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.535	compression	bull_high	51%	noisy_chop 39%	early 11b -0.1ATR	near 0.4ATR	—	0.43	80%	↔ -0.05	below_value	-2.92	—	#168016	0.29	bull_high	+6.29%	-0.95	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:24	↗
4h #342682	fresh	1h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.518	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 39%	early 9b 0.7ATR	—	near 0.2ATR	0.65	60%	↓ -0.52	above_value	-0.86	—	#169352	0.17	bear_high	-1.50%	+0.88	17/10 00:00 upd 17/10 04:15	↗
1h anchor #343058	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.530	normal	bull_high	62%	noisy_chop 40%	early 1b 0.6ATR	—	near 0.0ATR	5.14	94%	↑ +0.44	above_value	-1.20	—	#169571	0.21	range_medium	-0.53%	+0.47	17/10 04:00 upd 17/10 05:10	↗
15m #342990	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	grind	0.707	expansion	bull_high	58%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 3b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.09	16%	↑ +0.54	above_value	-0.86	—	#169352	0.30	range_low	+0.01%	-0.14	17/10 04:45 upd 17/10 05:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #207249	fresh	2026-10-17 04:00	0s	0.646	0.532	2/72	2026-10-17 05:00	2026-10-17 05:36
4h #207177	fresh	2026-10-17 00:00	1h	0.496	0.669	12/72	2026-10-17 04:00	2026-10-17 04:38
1d #206444	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	9h	0.505	0.602	20/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #169498	fresh	2026-10-17 04:45	0s	$0.082892	$0.088194	$0.081216	value	2.82	6.34
7d #169571	fresh	2026-10-17 04:00	0s	$0.088729	$0.093586	$0.083422	hvn	-1.20	4.47
30d #169425	fresh	2026-10-17 00:00	1h	$0.087359	$0.119626	$0.076907	hvn	-0.07	8.27

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.078950 → $0.079584	0.80%	0.58	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006411	+5.83
above	$0.084297 → $0.085838	1.81%	1.40	0.85	reversion	✓	↑ $0.000157	+0.14

Prix observé : $0.085995. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.070773 → $0.073258	3.45%	1.09	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012737	+5.59
below	$0.094715 → $0.097877	3.28%	1.39	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.008720	-3.83

Prix observé : $0.085995. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.040550 → $0.063273	43.77%	4.40	0.87	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.022722	+4.40
below	$0.146893 → $0.149620	1.84%	0.53	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.060898	-11.79

Prix observé : $0.085995. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T08:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T08:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}