Observation #40153

← Research Observations / #40153

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.185080

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $10,763,680

Synced: 10-17 10:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-17 08:00) Next (10-17 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0455

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 08:45:57 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.002319%

Annualized-20.32%

Premium-0.00068555

Settled at: 2026-10-17 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)101,125,285.00

OI (USD)$18,707,166

Mark price$0.184990

Funding next-0.002359%

Day vol (USD)$11,657,527

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 08:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.023%

Change 4h -0.202%

Change 24h -6.242%

Z-score 7d -0.03

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000441%

Avg 24h 0.000342%

Percentile 7d 29.2%

Percentile 30d 13.5%

Δ 4h -0.000970%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.043%

Divergence -0.80

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.462

OI / Vol z-7d

-0.41

OI momentum 4h

+0.884%

Funding +ratio 24h

76.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-17 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339573	fresh	13h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.693	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 40%	early 23b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.28	87%	↓ -0.21	above_value	-2.36	—	#167969	0.58	bull_high	+6.29%	-0.82	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:17	↗
4h #344079	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.673	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 6b -0.3ATR	—	—	0.22	3%	↔ +0.02	value	-4.76	—	#169952	0.40	bear_high	-1.65%	+0.08	17/10 04:00 upd 17/10 08:11	↗
1h anchor #344487	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.726	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 41%	late 7b -2.4ATR	—	—	0.95	57%	↓ -0.69	value	-5.74	—	#170163	0.74	range_low	-0.71%	-0.43	17/10 08:00 upd 17/10 09:08	↗
15m #344424	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.735	normal	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 45%	late 7b -2.9ATR	—	—	1.34	32%	↓ -0.18	value	-4.76	—	#169952	0.71	range_low	-0.19%	-0.15	17/10 08:45 upd 17/10 09:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #207557	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	0s	0.412	0.349	52/71	2026-10-17 09:00	2026-10-17 09:35
4h #207484	fresh	2026-10-17 04:00	1h	0.470	0.485	17/71	2026-10-17 08:00	2026-10-17 08:37
1d #206396	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	13h	0.437	0.513	29/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #170092	fresh	2026-10-17 08:45	0s	$0.188554	$0.194535	$0.187798	lvn LVN	-4.19	8.13
7d #170163	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	0s	$0.198394	$0.200451	$0.184540	value	-5.74	6.86
30d #170022	fresh	2026-10-17 04:00	1h	$0.203609	$0.230789	$0.191398	between	-2.56	6.40

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.184910 → $0.186148	0.67%	1.49	0.81	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.186422 → $0.187385	0.52%	1.16	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001342	-1.62
below	$0.197148 → $0.198385	0.63%	1.49	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.012068	-14.57
below	$0.199760 → $0.201410	0.82%	1.99	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014680	-17.72

Prix observé : $0.185080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.170000 → $0.172195	1.28%	0.95	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.012885	+5.55
above	$0.176310 → $0.181522	2.91%	2.25	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003558	+1.53

Prix observé : $0.185080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161460 → $0.171702	6.15%	1.66	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.013378	+2.17
below	$0.242607 → $0.256000	5.37%	2.18	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.057527	-9.34

Prix observé : $0.185080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T12:45:57+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 843,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T12:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}