Observation #40402

← Research Observations / #40402

🪙 PENGU page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PENGU

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.007454

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,263,133

Synced: 10-17 13:01 +1h

← Prev (10-17 11:00) Next (10-17 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PENGU — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0227

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 11:46:00 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.002028%

Annualized-17.76%

Premium-0.00066222

Settled at: 2026-10-17 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)1,261,086,446.00

OI (USD)$9,387,528

Mark price$0.007444

Funding next-0.001910%

Day vol (USD)$1,501,248

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.032%

Change 4h -0.159%

Change 24h -0.446%

Z-score 7d -0.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000343%

Avg 24h 0.000286%

Percentile 7d 57.1%

Percentile 30d 14.4%

Δ 4h -0.000293%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -1.114%

Divergence -0.46

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.777

OI / Vol z-7d

2.50 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.168%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-17 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339704	fresh	16h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.579	compression	bear_high	47%	noisy_chop 41%	mid 23b -1.3ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.35	36%	↓ -0.39	below_value	-8.35	—	#168010	0.73	bull_high	+6.29%	-0.98	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:24	↗
4h #345631	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.645	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 37%	early 15b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.37	18%	↓ -0.86	value	-1.87	—	#170627	0.64	bear_high	-1.88%	-0.16	17/10 08:00 upd 17/10 12:14	↗
1h anchor #345630	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.504	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 2b -1.5ATR	—	—	6.08	79%	↓ -0.41	value	-1.87	—	#170627	0.77	bear_low	-0.88%	-0.06	17/10 11:00 upd 17/10 12:14	↗
15m #345513	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.460	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	54%	noisy_chop 45%	late 2b -1.6ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.73	62%	↑ +0.82	above_value	-1.09	—	#170492	0.77	range_low	-0.36%	-0.10	17/10 11:45 upd 17/10 12:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #207810	fresh	2026-10-17 11:00	0s	0.527	0.395	13/68	2026-10-17 12:00	2026-10-17 12:36
4h #207878	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	0s	0.420	0.319	37/68	2026-10-17 12:00	2026-10-17 12:38
1d #206438	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	16h	0.337	0.322	56/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #170560	fresh	2026-10-17 11:45	0s	$0.007496	$0.007548	$0.007440	value	-1.27	3.26
7d #170627	fresh	2026-10-17 11:00	0s	$0.007614	$0.007939	$0.007322	value	-1.87	8.98
30d #170694	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	0s	$0.009959	$0.010523	$0.008540	between	-12.77	10.42

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007376 → $0.007410	0.46%	1.02	0.48	continuation_down	—	↑ $0.000044	+1.32
below	$0.007586 → $0.007631	0.59%	1.34	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000132	-3.94

Prix observé : $0.007454. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.007069 → $0.007289	3.07%	3.21	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.000165	+2.41
below	$0.008027 → $0.008094	0.82%	0.96	0.71	reversion	✓	↓ $0.000573	-8.23
below	$0.008347 → $0.008391	0.53%	0.64	0.85	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.000893	-13.02

Prix observé : $0.007454. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.007069 → $0.007479	5.64%	2.16	0.80	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.010557 → $0.011173	5.67%	3.23	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003103	-16.29

Prix observé : $0.007454. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T15:46:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 840,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}