Observation #40428

← Research Observations / #40428

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 13:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

12:00–13:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

13:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

14:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.181080

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,713,008

Synced: 10-17 14:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-17 12:00) Next (10-17 14:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.053

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 12:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.003102%

Annualized-27.17%

Premium-0.00074812

Settled at: 2026-10-17 13:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)99,998,028.60

OI (USD)$18,087,643

Mark price$0.180880

Funding next-0.002753%

Day vol (USD)$9,533,413

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 12:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.012%

Change 4h -0.941%

Change 24h -7.581%

Z-score 7d -0.01

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000483%

Avg 24h 0.000031%

Percentile 7d 28.6%

Percentile 30d 13.6%

Δ 4h -0.000042%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.161%

Divergence -0.60

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

1.991

OI / Vol z-7d

0.28

OI momentum 4h

-0.739%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-17 12:00:00 OI observed: 11:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 12:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339573	fresh	17h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.693	compression	bull_high	54%	noisy_chop 40%	early 23b 0.0ATR	—	—	1.28	87%	↓ -0.21	above_value	-2.36	—	#167969	0.58	bull_high	+6.29%	-0.82	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:17	↗
4h #345547	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.651	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 40%	early 7b -0.8ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	0.37	11%	↓ -0.20	below_value	-6.39	—	#170589	0.41	bear_high	-1.88%	-0.04	17/10 08:00 upd 17/10 12:11	↗
1h anchor #345944	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.730	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 46%	late 11b -3.3ATR	—	—	3.13	84%	↔ -0.08	below_value	-7.33	—	#170790	0.73	bear_low	-0.98%	-0.48	17/10 12:00 upd 17/10 13:08	↗
15m #345885	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.389	volatile_reversal	bear_medium_confirmed	53%	noisy_chop 51%	late 10b -3.9ATR	—	—	6.41	95%	↔ +0.08	below_value	-6.39	—	#170589	0.63	range_low	-0.47%	-0.30	17/10 12:45 upd 17/10 13:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #207907	fresh	2026-10-17 12:00	0s	0.504	0.295	29/66	2026-10-17 13:00	2026-10-17 13:35
4h #207839	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	1h	0.451	0.449	23/68	2026-10-17 12:00	2026-10-17 12:37
1d #206396	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	17h	0.437	0.513	29/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #170723	fresh	2026-10-17 12:45	0s	$0.189040	$0.193267	$0.187842	lvn LVN	-8.05	5.49
7d #170790	fresh	2026-10-17 12:00	0s	$0.198394	$0.200451	$0.184265	lvn LVN	-7.33	6.85
30d #170656	fresh	2026-10-17 08:00	1h	$0.203626	$0.230797	$0.192206	between	-3.04	6.43

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.180650 → $0.182416	0.97%	1.79	0.57	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.182795 → $0.183300	0.28%	0.51	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001715	-1.73
below	$0.185444 → $0.185949	0.27%	0.51	0.62	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.004364	-4.41
below	$0.186580 → $0.187463	0.47%	0.89	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.005500	-5.57
below	$0.194276 → $0.195790	0.78%	1.53	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.013196	-13.35

Prix observé : $0.181080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.170000 → $0.172469	1.44%	1.05	0.67	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.008611	+3.65
inside	$0.176310 → $0.181248	2.76%	2.09	0.58	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00

Prix observé : $0.181080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.171729	6.15%	1.71	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.009351	+1.56
below	$0.242611 → $0.256000	5.37%	2.23	0.67	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.061531	-10.25

Prix observé : $0.181080. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T16:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T16:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}