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← Research Observations / #40777
🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context
🪙 ARB
Market snapshot at
2026-10-17 19:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
18:00–19:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
19:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
20:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.181480
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $7,572,430
Synced: 10-17 20:15 +1.3h
← Prev (10-17 18:00) Next (10-17 20:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationbtc_led_risk_on
Leadershipbtc
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.0922
evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 18:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate-0.000846%
Annualized-7.41%
Premium-0.00056768
Settled at: 2026-10-17 19:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)96,237,556.20
OI (USD)$17,468,079
Mark price$0.181510
Funding next-0.000707%
Day vol (USD)$7,596,669
Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h -1.628%
Change 4h -3.012%
Change 24h -7.459%
Z-score 7d -1.19
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.000218%
Avg 24h -0.000207%
Percentile 7d 44.6%
Percentile 30d 20.1%
Δ 4h +0.001402%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -0.619%
Divergence 0.69
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
2.313
OI / Vol z-7d
0.79
OI momentum 4h
-1.914%
Funding +ratio 24h
60.0%
Sign streak
+4
Time: 2026-10-17 18:00:00 OI observed: 17:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 18:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#339573
 fresh 23h ↑ up transition bullish_transition moderate grind 0.693 compression bull_high
54%
noisy_chop 40% early 23b 0.0ATR — — 1.28 87% ↓ -0.21 above_value -2.36 — #167969 0.58 bull_high +6.29% -0.82
15/10 20:00
upd 16/10 20:17
 ↗
4h
#346855
 fresh 3h ↔ neutral range range moderate grind 0.650 compression bear_high
59%
noisy_chop 39% early 8b -0.8ATR near 0.0ATR — 0.65 36% ↓ -0.29 below_value -6.80 — #171158 0.40 bear_high -1.55% -0.06
17/10 12:00
upd 17/10 16:10
 ↗
1h anchor
#347760
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate grind 0.515 normal bear_high
61%
noisy_chop 45% mid 1b -1.6ATR — — 0.97 42% ↑ +0.29 below_value -6.56 — #171556 0.74 bear_low -0.78% -0.35
17/10 18:00
upd 17/10 19:08
 ↗
15m
#347704
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition strong explosive 0.259 volatile_reversal bear_medium
56%
noisy_chop 38% mid 5b -0.3ATR — — 0.55 34% ↑ +0.43 below_value -7.64 — #171438 0.70 range_low -0.27% +0.03
17/10 18:45
upd 17/10 19:00
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#208318
 fresh 2026-10-17 18:00 0s 0.521 0.430 34/64 2026-10-17 19:00 2026-10-17 19:35
4h
#208144
 fresh 2026-10-17 12:00 3h 0.479 0.468 27/57 2026-10-17 16:00 2026-10-17 16:37
1d
#206396
 fresh 2026-10-15 20:00 23h 0.437 0.513 29/74 2026-10-16 20:00 2026-10-16 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#171494
 fresh 2026-10-17 18:45 0s $0.188601 $0.191856 $0.182558 between -5.72 7.47
7d
#171556
 fresh 2026-10-17 18:00 0s $0.198394 $0.201000 $0.184265 between -6.56 6.49
30d
#171214
 fresh 2026-10-17 12:00 3h $0.203626 $0.230797 $0.193781 between -3.52 6.32

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.176580 → $0.178971 1.35% 1.92 0.67 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.002509 +2.02
below $0.186675 → $0.187340 0.36% 0.53 0.59 reversion ✓ ↓ $0.005195 -4.17
below $0.191856 → $0.192520 0.35% 0.53 0.76 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.010376 -8.34

Prix observé : $0.181480. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.170000 → $0.172469 1.44% 0.96 0.67 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.009011 +3.49
above $0.175761 → $0.180425 2.62% 1.81 0.53 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.001055 +0.41

Prix observé : $0.181480. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.161490 → $0.173304 7.06% 2.02 0.86 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.008176 +1.40
below $0.244186 → $0.256000 4.72% 2.02 0.68 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.062706 -10.71

Prix observé : $0.181480. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T22:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T22:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}