Observation #40834

← Research Observations / #40834

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 19:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

18:00–19:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

19:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

20:16 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.281940

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $5,357,896

Synced: 10-17 20:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-17 18:00) Next (10-17 20:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0922

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 18:46:04 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000504

Settled at: 2026-10-17 19:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)89,332,616.00

OI (USD)$25,174,825

Mark price$0.281810

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$5,482,717

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 18:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #339756	fresh	23h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	37%	noisy_chop 44%	—	—	—	0.36	4%	↓ -0.31	value	+4.68	—	#168035	—	bull_high	+6.29%	-1.00	15/10 20:00 upd 16/10 20:26	↗
4h #346951	fresh	3h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.619	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 46%	late 12b -1.9ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.60	16%	↓ -0.85	above_value	+0.65	inside	#171206	—	bear_high	-1.55%	-0.91	17/10 12:00 upd 17/10 16:14	↗
1h anchor #347815	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.618	normal	bear_high	55%	choppy 45%	late 22b -3.0ATR	—	—	0.80	27%	↑ +0.82	below_value	-3.28	—	#171610	0.46	bear_low	-0.78%	-0.85	17/10 18:00 upd 17/10 19:10	↗
15m #347693	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	fading	0.765	compression	bear_high	62%	noisy_chop 43%	late 4b -2.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.13	11%	↔ +0.02	below_value	-3.62	—	#171486	0.51	range_low	-0.19%	-0.20	17/10 18:30 upd 17/10 18:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #208371	fresh	2026-10-17 18:00	0s	0.374	0.141	63/64	2026-10-17 19:00	2026-10-17 19:37
4h #208192	fresh	2026-10-17 12:00	3h	0.170	0.106	57/57	2026-10-17 16:00	2026-10-17 16:38
1d #206461	fresh	2026-10-15 20:00	23h	0.255	0.198	72/74	2026-10-16 20:00	2026-10-16 20:22

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #171548	fresh	2026-10-17 18:45	0s	$0.288695	$0.311862	$0.281256	value	-2.38	10.80
7d #171610	fresh	2026-10-17 18:00	0s	$0.300831	$0.335872	$0.280631	between	-3.28	8.70
30d #171262	fresh	2026-10-17 12:00	3h	$0.627554	$0.776420	$0.403206	between	-19.54	21.61

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.299110 → $0.302510	1.13%	1.20	0.68	reversion	✓	↓ $0.017170	-6.06
below	$0.311862 → $0.315688	1.22%	1.35	0.74	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029922	-10.55
below	$0.317388 → $0.319089	0.53%	0.60	0.51	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.035448	-12.50
below	$0.324190 → $0.325890	0.52%	0.60	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.042250	-14.91

Prix observé : $0.281940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.273210 → $0.279806	2.39%	1.04	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002134	+0.34
below	$0.354835 → $0.372150	4.76%	2.73	0.73	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.072895	-11.48

Prix observé : $0.281940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.428366 → $0.508041	17.02%	4.61	0.74	reversion	✓	↓ $0.146426	-8.48
below	$0.734486 → $0.776420	5.55%	2.43	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.452546	-26.21

Prix observé : $0.281940. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T22:46:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 836,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T23:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-17T22:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}