Observation #40903

← Research Observations / #40903

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 21:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

20:00–21:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

21:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

22:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,505.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $838,422,668

Synced: 10-17 22:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-17 20:00) Next (10-17 22:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0652

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 20:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000356%

Annualized3.11%

Premium-0.00047156

Settled at: 2026-10-17 21:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,509.64

OI (USD)$3,383,990,352

Mark price$81,523.00

Funding next0.000351%

Day vol (USD)$759,843,974

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 20:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.047%

Change 4h +0.430%

Change 24h +0.593%

Z-score 7d 0.00

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000368%

Avg 24h 0.001023%

Percentile 7d 16.7%

Percentile 30d 11.8%

Δ 4h -0.000623%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.127%

Divergence -0.30

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

4.399

OI / Vol z-7d

2.58 extrême

OI momentum 4h

+0.160%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+58 crowded

Time: 2026-10-17 20:00:00 OI observed: 19:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 20:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348176	fresh	1h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.555	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 26b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.34	7%	↔ -0.01	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:15	↗
4h #348067	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.494	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 30%	mid 9b -0.9ATR	near -0.2ATR	—	0.50	30%	↓ -0.72	value	-0.84	—	#171550	—	—	—	—	17/10 16:00 upd 17/10 20:05	↗
1h anchor #348516	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.380	normal	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 41%	early 2b 0.1ATR	—	—	0.73	22%	↑ +0.39	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 17/10 21:05	↗
15m #348456	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.497	volatile_reversal	range_low	31%	noisy_chop 39%	early 5b 0.7ATR	near 0.0ATR	near 0.4ATR	0.30	29%	↔ +0.02	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:45 upd 17/10 21:00	↗
5m #348455	fresh	0s	↑ up	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.543	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 52%	late 17b 1.6ATR	—	—	0.19	7%	↓ -0.41	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:55 upd 17/10 21:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #208572	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	0s	0.500	0.488	24/66	2026-10-17 21:00	2026-10-17 21:35
4h #208440	fresh	2026-10-17 16:00	1h	0.504	0.467	20/66	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:37
1d #208504	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	1h	0.496	0.507	10/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #171804	fresh	2026-10-17 20:45	0s	$81,571.12	$81,623.72	$81,235.32	hvn	-0.51	3.01
7d #171871	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	0s	$81,546.10	$83,322.02	$80,877.75	hvn	-0.15	9.02
30d #171740	fresh	2026-10-17 16:00	1h	$83,500.08	$85,041.73	$80,837.23	value	-2.89	5.49

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,766.00 → $80,984.48	0.27%	1.69	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $520.52	+4.03

Prix observé : $81,505.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	3.38	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $856.40	+3.16
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	0.99	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,542.66	-9.38

Prix observé : $81,505.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$76,259.00 → $77,567.07	1.70%	1.71	0.94	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,937.93	+5.15
above	$78,501.40 → $79,809.47	1.65%	1.71	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,695.53	+2.22

Prix observé : $81,505.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	21:05	21:20	+0.08%	+0.23×	+0.23×	-0.29×	15m	10m	Low first	0.52	0.00%	+0.08%	34.27%	0.18%	$17.10M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	21:05	22:05	+0.11%	+0.31×	+1.12×	-0.29×	40m	10m	Low first	0.12	0.00%	+0.11%	30.79%	0.49%	$108.14M	21:40 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	21:05	01:05	+0.21%	+0.62×	+1.71×	-0.29×	2h45m	10m	Low first	0.10	0.00%	+0.21%	19.21%	0.69%	$218.28M	21:40 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	21:05	09:05	+0.46%	+1.34×	+2.51×	-0.29×	8h40m	10m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+0.46%	18.00%	0.96%	$482.20M	21:40 / 05:30	— / —	—	100%
1d	computed	21:05	21:05	+1.02%	+2.96×	+3.40×	-3.29×	23h45m	19h15m	Low first	0.06	0.00%	+1.02%	26.54%	2.30%	$2.07B	21:40 / 05:30	09:35 / 10:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T00:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T00:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T00:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}