Observation #41012

← Research Observations / #41012

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-17 22:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

21:00–22:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

22:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

23:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.177340

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,537,945

Synced: 10-17 23:01 +1h

← Prev (10-17 21:00) Next (10-17 23:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.6148

evaluated_at: 2026-10-17 21:45:58 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001409%

Annualized-12.34%

Premium-0.00061271

Settled at: 2026-10-17 22:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)70,000,584.00

OI (USD)$12,426,504

Mark price$0.177520

Funding next-0.001325%

Day vol (USD)$1,512,465

Snapshot at: 2026-10-17 21:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.718%

Change 4h —

Change 24h -3.440%

Z-score 7d -0.91

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001742%

Avg 24h 0.000311%

Percentile 7d 2.4% bottom

Percentile 30d 0.6%

Δ 4h -0.001022%

🔀 Price × OI

— undetermined

Price Δ 4h +0.853%

Divergence —

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.501

OI / Vol z-7d

0.17

OI momentum 4h

—

Funding +ratio 24h

72.0%

Sign streak

-5

Time: 2026-10-17 21:00:00 OI observed: 20:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 21:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 150 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348279	fresh	2h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.628	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 47%	late 18b -1.9ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.35	50%	↓ -0.74	value	-2.69	—	#171717	0.58	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.93	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:21	↗
4h #348149	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.488	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 39%	late 14b -1.9ATR	near 0.1ATR	—	2.56	75%	↓ -0.27	value	-2.69	—	#171717	0.73	bear_high	-1.66%	-0.28	17/10 16:00 upd 17/10 20:14	↗
1h anchor #348890	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.388	expansion	bear_medium	65%	noisy_chop 45%	early 4b -0.5ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	1.25	75%	↑ +0.80	above_value	-2.35	—	#172047	0.83	range_low	-0.37%	-0.13	17/10 21:00 upd 17/10 22:11	↗
15m #348828	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.388	volatile_reversal	range_low	34%	noisy_chop 37%	early 1b 0.2ATR	—	—	0.45	86%	↓ -0.31	above_value	-2.22	—	#171912	0.83	range_low	+0.12%	-0.09	17/10 21:45 upd 17/10 22:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #208680	fresh	2026-10-17 21:00	0s	0.557	0.437	11/66	2026-10-17 22:00	2026-10-17 22:36
4h #208481	fresh	2026-10-17 16:00	2h	0.531	0.300	11/66	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:38
1d #208545	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	2h	0.298	0.265	53/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #171980	fresh	2026-10-17 21:45	0s	$0.176485	$0.177933	$0.175265	value	1.22	3.81
7d #172047	fresh	2026-10-17 21:00	0s	$0.179966	$0.194246	$0.173960	hvn	-2.36	16.22
30d #171781	fresh	2026-10-17 16:00	2h	$0.218034	$0.235189	$0.202991	lvn LVN	-12.54	9.69

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.173960 → $0.175208	0.72%	1.78	0.84	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002132	+3.05
below	$0.180373 → $0.180770	0.22%	0.57	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.003033	-4.34

Prix observé : $0.177340. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.173960 → $0.175562	0.92%	1.28	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001778	+1.42
below	$0.185704 → $0.189441	1.99%	2.99	0.59	reversion	✓	↓ $0.008364	-6.69
below	$0.193445 → $0.194513	0.55%	0.85	0.54	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016105	-12.87
below	$0.198783 → $0.199584	0.40%	0.64	0.47	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.021443	-17.14
below	$0.205189 → $0.205990	0.39%	0.64	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027849	-22.25

Prix observé : $0.177340. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.173960 → $0.179238	2.99%	1.59	0.77	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.179766 → $0.182933	1.75%	0.95	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002426	-0.73
below	$0.183461 → $0.187684	2.28%	1.27	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.006121	-1.84
below	$0.234133 → $0.237300	1.34%	0.95	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.056793	-17.09

Prix observé : $0.177340. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T01:45:58+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 842,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T02:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T01:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T01:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}