Observation #41280

← Research Observations / #41280

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 02:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

01:00–02:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

02:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

03:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.176880

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,504,224

Synced: 10-18 03:01 +1h

← Prev (10-18 01:00) Next (10-18 03:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1111

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 01:46:01 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001063%

Annualized-9.31%

Premium-0.00058505

Settled at: 2026-10-18 02:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)69,232,120.00

OI (USD)$12,236,085

Mark price$0.176740

Funding next-0.001115%

Day vol (USD)$1,510,063

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 01:55:03

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.175%

Change 4h -1.557%

Change 24h -5.954%

Z-score 7d -0.08

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001485%

Avg 24h -0.000123%

Percentile 7d 4.2% bottom

Percentile 30d 1.0%

Δ 4h +0.000258%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.259%

Divergence 0.76

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.125

OI / Vol z-7d

0.05

OI momentum 4h

+3.228%

Funding +ratio 24h

56.0%

Sign streak

-9 crowded

Time: 2026-10-18 01:00:00 OI observed: 00:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 01:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 154 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348279	fresh	6h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.628	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 47%	late 18b -1.9ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.35	50%	↓ -0.74	value	-2.69	—	#171717	0.58	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.93	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:21	↗
4h #349598	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.488	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 15b -1.3ATR	—	—	0.86	38%	↓ -0.38	above_value	-1.56	—	#172315	0.73	bear_high	-1.08%	-0.30	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 00:14	↗
1h anchor #350286	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.474	volatile_reversal	bear_medium	52%	noisy_chop 47%	early 2b -0.8ATR	—	near 0.5ATR	0.08	3%	↑ +0.44	above_value	-2.52	—	#172650	0.84	range_low	-0.27%	-0.13	18/10 01:00 upd 18/10 02:11	↗
15m #350224	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.500	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 38%	mid 8b -1.4ATR	—	—	0.16	17%	↓ -0.91	above_value	-1.63	—	#172516	0.82	range_low	+0.14%	-0.03	18/10 01:45 upd 18/10 02:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209010	fresh	2026-10-18 01:00	0s	0.484	0.446	28/66	2026-10-18 02:00	2026-10-18 02:36
4h #208878	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	2h	0.486	0.356	20/66	2026-10-18 00:00	2026-10-18 00:38
1d #208545	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	6h	0.298	0.265	53/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #172583	fresh	2026-10-18 01:45	0s	$0.176493	$0.177644	$0.175290	value	0.72	4.40
7d #172650	fresh	2026-10-18 01:00	0s	$0.179966	$0.193712	$0.174761	hvn	-2.52	15.20
30d #172382	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	2h	$0.218034	$0.235189	$0.202991	lvn LVN	-12.33	9.96

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.173960 → $0.175239	0.73%	2.39	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001641	+3.07

Prix observé : $0.176880. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.173960 → $0.175562	0.92%	1.28	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001318	+1.06
below	$0.185704 → $0.189174	1.85%	2.78	0.60	reversion	✓	↓ $0.008824	-7.08
below	$0.193445 → $0.194780	0.69%	1.07	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016565	-13.28
below	$0.198783 → $0.199584	0.40%	0.64	0.48	continuation_up	—	↓ $0.021903	-17.56
below	$0.205189 → $0.205990	0.39%	0.64	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.028309	-22.70

Prix observé : $0.176880. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.173960 → $0.178711	2.69%	1.47	0.76	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.180294 → $0.188212	4.30%	2.45	0.63	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.003414	-1.06
below	$0.234133 → $0.237300	1.34%	0.98	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.057253	-17.71

Prix observé : $0.176880. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T05:46:01+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 839,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T05:55:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 297,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T05:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}