Observation #41305

← Research Observations / #41305

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,689.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $890,814,666

Synced: 10-18 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 02:00) Next (10-18 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2979

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000472%

Annualized4.13%

Premium-0.00046225

Settled at: 2026-10-18 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,007.09

OI (USD)$3,349,213,418

Mark price$81,674.00

Funding next0.000440%

Day vol (USD)$902,241,629

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.046%

Change 4h -0.506%

Change 24h -0.241%

Z-score 7d -0.13

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000719%

Avg 24h 0.000850%

Percentile 7d 29.2%

Percentile 30d 20.0%

Δ 4h +0.000147%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.117%

Divergence 0.39

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.694

OI / Vol z-7d

1.87

OI momentum 4h

-0.298%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+64 crowded

Time: 2026-10-18 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348176	fresh	7h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.555	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 26b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.34	7%	↔ -0.01	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:15	↗
4h #349514	fresh	3h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.389	compression	bear_high	59%	noisy_chop 30%	early 10b -0.1ATR	near 0.5ATR	—	0.41	20%	↓ -0.71	above_value	+0.86	—	#172139	—	—	—	—	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 00:05	↗
1h anchor #350579	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.622	normal	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 43%	early 3b 0.4ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.38	9%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+0.56	—	#172608	—	—	—	—	18/10 02:00 upd 18/10 03:05	↗
15m #350518	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.513	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 36%	early 12b -0.1ATR	near -1.4ATR	—	0.10	1%	↓ -0.64	above_value	+0.56	—	#172608	—	—	—	—	18/10 02:45 upd 18/10 03:00	↗
5m #350517	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.444	normal	range_low	40%	noisy_chop 39%	early 4b -0.5ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.14	2%	↓ -0.74	above_value	+0.56	—	#172608	—	—	—	—	18/10 02:55 upd 18/10 03:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209034	fresh	2026-10-18 02:00	0s	0.503	0.508	27/66	2026-10-18 03:00	2026-10-18 03:35
4h #208836	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	3h	0.512	0.494	11/66	2026-10-18 00:00	2026-10-18 00:37
1d #208504	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	7h	0.496	0.507	10/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #172675	fresh	2026-10-18 02:45	0s	$81,548.16	$81,808.88	$81,255.52	hvn	1.29	5.07
7d #172742	fresh	2026-10-18 02:00	0s	$81,546.10	$83,283.83	$80,801.37	hvn	0.56	9.65
30d #172340	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	3h	$83,571.65	$85,071.40	$80,872.10	value	-2.35	5.62

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,766.00 → $80,968.19	0.25%	1.85	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $720.81	+6.60
below	$81,925.94 → $82,043.00	0.14%	1.07	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $236.94	-2.17

Prix observé : $81,689.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	3.56	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,040.40	+4.05
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	1.04	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,358.66	-9.17

Prix observé : $81,689.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,187.00 → $77,701.20	0.66%	0.69	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $3,987.80	+5.33
above	$78,386.80 → $80,015.10	2.06%	2.18	0.91	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,673.90	+2.24

Prix observé : $81,689.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	03:05	03:20	-0.09%	-0.30×	+0.01×	-0.32×	10m	15m	High first	1.00	0.00%	-0.09%	14.31%	0.10%	$3.80M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	03:05	04:05	-0.13%	-0.42×	+0.01×	-0.59×	10m	25m	High first	0.53	0.00%	-0.13%	9.09%	0.18%	$13.98M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	03:05	07:05	+0.40%	+1.31×	+2.16×	-0.59×	2h40m	25m	Low first	0.21	0.00%	+0.40%	20.58%	0.84%	$167.29M	05:10 / 05:40	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	03:05	15:05	-0.77%	-2.51×	+2.16×	-3.05×	2h40m	8h40m	High first	0.11	0.00%	-0.77%	24.91%	1.59%	$807.07M	05:10 / 05:40	09:25 / 10:00	—	100%
1d	computed	03:05	03:05	+1.38%	+4.52×	+4.59×	-4.35×	23h35m	13h15m	Low first	0.08	0.00%	+1.38%	27.91%	2.73%	$2.18B	05:10 / 05:40	09:25 / 10:00	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}