Observation #41321

← Research Observations / #41321

🪙 AAVE page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AAVE

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 03:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

02:00–03:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

03:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

04:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$152.34

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $4,214,180

Synced: 10-18 04:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 02:00) Next (10-18 04:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AAVE — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.2979

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00039018

Settled at: 2026-10-18 03:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)391,419.08

OI (USD)$59,601,383

Mark price$152.27

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$4,192,926

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.042%

Change 4h -0.209%

Change 24h -1.287%

Z-score 7d 0.20

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000324%

Avg 24h 0.000338%

Percentile 7d 7.7%

Percentile 30d 4.0%

Δ 4h -0.001574%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.177%

Divergence 0.00

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

14.449

OI / Vol z-7d

1.84

OI momentum 4h

-0.312%

Funding +ratio 24h

64.0%

Sign streak

-2

Time: 2026-10-18 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348228	fresh	7h	↑ up	range	range	moderate	fading	0.550	expansion_after_compression	bull_high	57%	noisy_chop 33%	early 15b -0.8ATR	—	—	0.18	9%	↓ -0.73	above_value	-5.86	—	#171692	0.69	bull_high	+5.98%	+0.16	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:18	↗
4h #349546	fresh	3h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.574	normal	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 38%	early 10b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.47	12%	↓ -0.65	value	-4.38	—	#172289	0.63	bear_high	-1.08%	-0.06	17/10 20:00 upd 18/10 00:12	↗
1h anchor #350595	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.437	expansion	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 46%	early 3b -0.4ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.66	27%	↓ -0.36	value	-5.60	—	#172758	0.76	range_low	-0.27%	-0.22	18/10 02:00 upd 18/10 03:09	↗
15m #350534	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.618	compression	range_medium	41%	noisy_chop 44%	early 4b 0.0ATR	—	—	0.25	5%	↓ -0.25	value	-5.80	—	#172624	0.77	range_low	+0.11%	+0.06	18/10 02:45 upd 18/10 03:01	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209050	fresh	2026-10-18 02:00	0s	0.502	0.480	28/66	2026-10-18 03:00	2026-10-18 03:35
4h #208852	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	3h	0.477	0.459	25/66	2026-10-18 00:00	2026-10-18 00:37
1d #208520	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	7h	0.375	0.451	30/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #172691	fresh	2026-10-18 02:45	0s	$152.74	$154.13	$150.60	hvn	-0.65	5.78
7d #172758	fresh	2026-10-18 02:00	0s	$160.50	$162.33	$148.76	value	-5.60	9.31
30d #172356	fresh	2026-10-17 20:00	3h	$165.96	$174.89	$142.35	value	-3.52	8.85

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$148.83 → $150.12	0.86%	2.11	0.80	continuation_down	✓	↑ $2.2180	+3.63
below	$156.58 → $156.99	0.26%	0.67	0.87	continuation_up	✓	↓ $4.2420	-6.94

Prix observé : $152.34. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$147.04 → $148.12	0.73%	0.74	0.61	continuation_down	✓	↑ $4.2233	+2.90
below	$162.54 → $164.70	1.32%	1.48	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $10.2040	-7.01
below	$167.50 → $169.00	0.90%	1.03	0.47	continuation_up	—	↓ $15.1567	-10.41
below	$171.37 → $172.88	0.88%	1.03	0.68	continuation_up	✓	↓ $19.0327	-13.07

Prix observé : $152.34. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$132.72 → $138.22	4.06%	1.50	0.59	continuation_down	✓	↑ $14.1190	+3.84
below	$174.89 → $177.64	1.56%	0.75	0.38	reversion	—	↓ $22.5543	-6.13
below	$183.60 → $187.73	2.22%	1.12	0.55	continuation_up	✓	↓ $31.2643	-8.50

Prix observé : $152.34. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}