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← Research Observations / #41359
🪙 XPL page 📊 Market Context
🪙 XPL
Market snapshot at
2026-10-18 03:00 UTC
T — snapshot anchor
Last closed 1h candle
02:00–03:00
features known as of T*
Outcome entry
03:05 UTC
T + 5 minutes
Record created
04:15 UTC
Historical computation
Price
$0.078750
Universe
Eligible
Vol 24h: $10,566,665
Synced: 10-18 04:02 +1h
← Prev (10-18 02:00) Next (10-18 04:00) →
* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XPL — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh
Primary biasbull
Phasebull_pullback
Environmenttrend_pullback
Participationmixed_dispersion
Leadershipmixed
BTC bias 1Dbull
Breadth score0.2979
evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 02:46:05 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh
Rate0.001250%
Annualized10.95%
Premium0.00003685
Settled at: 2026-10-18 03:00:00
staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh
OI (coin)727,129,724.00
OI (USD)$57,187,299
Mark price$0.078648
Funding next0.001250%
Day vol (USD)$10,507,817
Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 02:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh
📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space
Change 1h +0.069%
Change 4h -0.108%
Change 24h -3.268%
Z-score 7d 0.02
💰 Funding Context settled
Current 0.001250%
Avg 24h 0.001250%
Percentile 7d 98.8% top
Percentile 30d 82.1%
Δ 4h 0.000000%
🔀 Price × OI
↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓
Price Δ 4h -0.247%
Divergence 0.12
🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives
OI / Vol 24h
5.398
OI / Vol z-7d
-0.27
OI momentum 4h
+0.071%
Funding +ratio 24h
100.0%
Sign streak
+68 crowded
Time: 2026-10-18 02:00:00 OI observed: 01:55:03 (5min ago) Funding at: 02:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF Status Staleness Direction Phase Structure Strength Momentum Mom. score Volatility Regime Tradability PAQ Move Demand Supply RVOL Vol %ile Vol Trend Vol Zone POC ATR LVN VP ref BTC Corr BTC Regime BTC OutPerf RS / BTC Évalué à / Updated
1d
#348297
 fresh 7h ↓ down range range moderate grind 0.387 compression bear_high
50%
noisy_chop 40% late 22b -1.4ATR near -0.1ATR — 0.54 56% ↓ -0.54 value -1.61 — #171726 0.54 bull_high +5.98% -0.99
16/10 20:00
upd 17/10 20:22
 ↗
4h
#349624
 fresh 3h ↓ down range range moderate balanced 0.408 normal bear_high
58%
noisy_chop 36% mid 14b -1.1ATR near -0.9ATR — 0.28 16% ↓ -0.43 value -1.50 — #172327 0.55 bear_high -1.08% -0.10
17/10 20:00
upd 18/10 00:15
 ↗
1h anchor
#350633
 fresh 0s ↓ down transition bearish_transition moderate fading 0.654 normal bear_high
57%
noisy_chop 44% early 3b -1.0ATR near -0.2ATR — 0.07 1% ↓ -0.71 value -1.79 — #172796 0.62 range_low -0.27% -0.37
18/10 02:00
upd 18/10 03:10
 ↗
15m
#350569
 fresh 0s ↓ down range bearish_transition strong explosive 0.271 compression bear_medium
60%
noisy_chop 42% early 5b 0.2ATR — — 0.19 11% ↓ -0.38 below_value -2.73 — #172662 0.71 range_low +0.11% -0.05
18/10 02:45
upd 18/10 03:03
 ↗
5m — — Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF Status Evaluated at Staleness Score Momentum Rank Scored bucket Created at
1h
#209087
 fresh 2026-10-18 02:00 0s 0.507 0.443 20/66 2026-10-18 03:00 2026-10-18 03:36
4h
#208889
 fresh 2026-10-17 20:00 3h 0.466 0.403 29/66 2026-10-18 00:00 2026-10-18 00:38
1d
#208554
 fresh 2026-10-16 20:00 7h 0.228 0.160 58/64 2026-10-17 20:00 2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window Status Evaluated at Staleness POC VAH VAL Zone POC dist (ATR) Value width (ATR)
24h
#172729
 fresh 2026-10-18 02:45 0s $0.078703 $0.080087 $0.078117 hvn 0.12 5.17
7d
#172796
 fresh 2026-10-18 02:00 0s $0.080398 $0.085171 $0.078229 value -1.79 7.51
30d
#172394
 fresh 2026-10-17 20:00 3h $0.095869 $0.107529 $0.079546 between -6.81 11.47

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.076756 → $0.077694 1.22% 2.46 0.75 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.001056 +2.77

Prix observé : $0.078750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
above $0.074882 → $0.076741 2.45% 2.01 0.86 continuation_down ✓ ↑ $0.002009 +2.17
below $0.087278 → $0.087774 0.57% 0.54 0.53 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.008528 -9.23
below $0.088393 → $0.089757 1.53% 1.48 0.81 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.009643 -10.43

Prix observé : $0.078750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status Range Width % Width ATR Depth Setup Tradable Distance ($) Dist ATR
inside $0.074882 → $0.079122 5.51% 1.74 0.73 continuation_down ✓ inside +0.00
below $0.117280 → $0.125760 6.98% 3.47 0.71 continuation_up ✓ ↓ $0.038530 -15.79

Prix observé : $0.078750. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon Status Entry Window end Close ret in ATR Max up ATR Max down ATR Time to high Time to low First extreme Dir. eff. Excess vs BTC BTC ret Real. vol Real. range Volume FT up 1/2 ATR FT down 1/2 ATR Ambig. Coverage
15m missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
4h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
12h missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —
1d missing — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — — / — — / — — —

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

 
{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:46:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 835,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T07:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T06:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}