Observation #41439

← Research Observations / #41439

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,686.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $970,927,040

Synced: 10-18 06:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 04:00) Next (10-18 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1812

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 04:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.000088%

Annualized0.77%

Premium-0.00049295

Settled at: 2026-10-18 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,253.65

OI (USD)$3,370,196,191

Mark price$81,694.50

Funding next0.000177%

Day vol (USD)$896,621,138

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.034%

Change 4h +0.098%

Change 24h -0.123%

Z-score 7d -0.02

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000550%

Avg 24h 0.000791%

Percentile 7d 22.0%

Percentile 30d 16.7%

Δ 4h +0.000183%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.086%

Divergence -0.01

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.722

OI / Vol z-7d

1.90

OI momentum 4h

+1.049%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+66 crowded

Time: 2026-10-18 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348176	fresh	9h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.555	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 26b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.34	7%	↔ -0.01	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:15	↗
4h #350912	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.493	compression	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 31%	early 11b -0.3ATR	near 0.3ATR	—	0.16	5%	↓ -0.78	above_value	+0.56	—	#172742	—	—	—	—	18/10 00:00 upd 18/10 04:05	↗
1h anchor #351311	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.627	normal	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 42%	early 5b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.1ATR	0.47	15%	↓ -0.19	above_value	-0.11	—	#172876	—	—	—	—	18/10 04:00 upd 18/10 05:05	↗
15m #351250	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.683	compression	range_low	41%	noisy_chop 40%	early 6b 0.0ATR	near -1.8ATR	—	1.21	43%	↓ -0.39	above_value	-0.11	—	#172876	—	—	—	—	18/10 04:45 upd 18/10 05:00	↗
5m #351249	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.577	compression	range_low	36%	noisy_chop 38%	early 3b 0.4ATR	—	near -0.3ATR	1.99	66%	↑ +0.32	above_value	-0.11	—	#172876	—	—	—	—	18/10 04:55 upd 18/10 05:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209232	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	0s	0.496	0.495	18/66	2026-10-18 05:00	2026-10-18 05:35
4h #209166	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	1h	0.498	0.467	7/66	2026-10-18 04:00	2026-10-18 04:37
1d #208504	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	9h	0.496	0.507	10/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #173010	fresh	2026-10-18 04:45	0s	$81,526.88	$81,808.88	$81,255.52	hvn	1.80	6.26
7d #173077	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,283.83	$80,801.37	hvn	0.11	10.34
30d #172943	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	1h	$83,496.83	$84,930.81	$80,833.73	value	-2.45	5.65

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,766.00 → $80,968.19	0.25%	2.29	0.79	continuation_down	✓	↑ $717.81	+8.12
below	$81,925.94 → $82,043.00	0.14%	1.32	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $239.94	-2.72

Prix observé : $81,686.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	3.82	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,037.40	+4.32
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	1.11	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,361.66	-9.84

Prix observé : $81,686.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$77,638.00 → $80,014.31	3.01%	3.28	0.90	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,671.69	+2.30

Prix observé : $81,686.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	05:05	05:20	+0.20%	+0.62×	+0.98×	0.00×	10m	5m	High first	1.00	0.00%	+0.20%	0.84%	0.32%	$30.14M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	05:05	06:05	+0.48%	+1.49×	+1.99×	0.00×	40m	5m	High first	0.72	0.00%	+0.48%	26.45%	0.64%	$85.59M	05:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
4h	computed	05:05	09:05	+0.24%	+0.74×	+1.99×	0.00×	40m	5m	High first	0.14	0.00%	+0.24%	16.46%	0.64%	$180.75M	05:30 / —	— / —	—	100%
12h	computed	05:05	17:05	-0.97%	-2.99×	+1.99×	-4.15×	40m	11h15m	High first	0.12	0.00%	-0.97%	25.28%	1.99%	$1.09B	05:30 / —	09:25 / 10:10	—	100%
1d	computed	05:05	05:05	+1.30%	+4.03×	+5.28×	-4.15×	22h30m	11h15m	Low first	0.07	0.00%	+1.30%	29.82%	3.05%	$2.31B	05:30 / 20:40	09:25 / 10:10	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}