Observation #41481

← Research Observations / #41481

🪙 XLM page 📊 Market Context

🪙 XLM

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.177330

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,504,750

Synced: 10-18 06:02 +1h

← Prev (10-18 04:00) Next (10-18 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · XLM — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1812

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 04:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000484%

Annualized-4.24%

Premium-0.00053876

Settled at: 2026-10-18 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)69,251,446.00

OI (USD)$12,268,586

Mark price$0.177160

Funding next-0.000281%

Day vol (USD)$1,496,279

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.004%

Change 4h -0.240%

Change 24h -6.061%

Z-score 7d 0.18

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000180%

Avg 24h -0.000334%

Percentile 7d 19.6%

Percentile 30d 4.6%

Δ 4h +0.000465%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.332%

Divergence -0.25

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

8.197

OI / Vol z-7d

0.07

OI momentum 4h

+1.852%

Funding +ratio 24h

44.0%

Sign streak

-12 crowded

Time: 2026-10-18 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 157 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348279	fresh	9h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.628	compression	bear_high	51%	noisy_chop 47%	late 18b -1.9ATR	near -1.3ATR	—	0.35	50%	↓ -0.74	value	-2.69	—	#171717	0.58	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.93	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:21	↗
4h #350997	fresh	1h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.488	compression	bear_high	58%	noisy_chop 35%	mid 16b -1.6ATR	near 0.2ATR	—	0.17	1%	↓ -0.61	above_value	-2.40	—	#172918	0.73	bear_high	-1.39%	-0.28	18/10 00:00 upd 18/10 04:14	↗
1h anchor #351353	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.406	normal	bear_medium	62%	noisy_chop 39%	early 5b -0.4ATR	—	near 0.1ATR	0.27	25%	↔ -0.14	value	-2.22	—	#173119	0.83	range_low	-0.27%	-0.06	18/10 04:00 upd 18/10 05:10	↗
15m #351291	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.398	compression	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 46%	early 7b -0.2ATR	—	—	3.57	71%	↔ +0.07	above_value	-2.40	—	#172918	0.81	range_low	+0.10%	-0.03	18/10 04:45 upd 18/10 05:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209274	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	0s	0.483	0.437	22/66	2026-10-18 05:00	2026-10-18 05:36
4h #209208	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	1h	0.448	0.327	24/66	2026-10-18 04:00	2026-10-18 04:38
1d #208545	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	9h	0.298	0.265	53/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #173052	fresh	2026-10-18 04:45	0s	$0.176493	$0.177542	$0.175290	value	1.91	5.14
7d #173119	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	0s	$0.179966	$0.193445	$0.175295	value	-2.22	15.30
30d #172985	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	1h	$0.218034	$0.235189	$0.202991	lvn LVN	-12.74	10.21

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.173960 → $0.175239	0.73%	2.92	0.86	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.002091	+4.78
below	$0.179486 → $0.180100	0.34%	1.40	0.91	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.002156	-4.93

Prix observé : $0.177330. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.173960 → $0.175562	0.92%	1.35	0.69	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.001768	+1.49
below	$0.185704 → $0.189174	1.85%	2.92	0.60	reversion	✓	↓ $0.008374	-7.06
below	$0.193712 → $0.195046	0.69%	1.12	0.57	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.016382	-13.81
below	$0.205189 → $0.205990	0.39%	0.67	0.66	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.027859	-23.47

Prix observé : $0.177330. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.173960 → $0.178711	2.69%	1.51	0.76	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.180294 → $0.188739	4.58%	2.68	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.002964	-0.94
below	$0.234661 → $0.237300	1.12%	0.84	0.84	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.057331	-18.18

Prix observé : $0.177330. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}