Observation #41498

← Research Observations / #41498

🪙 AERO page 📊 Market Context

🪙 AERO

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 05:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

04:00–05:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

05:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

06:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.836040

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $2,083,553

Synced: 10-18 06:03 +1.1h

← Prev (10-18 04:00) Next (10-18 06:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · AERO — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.1812

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 04:46:02 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium0.00000082

Settled at: 2026-10-18 05:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)38,731,332.00

OI (USD)$32,370,873

Mark price$0.835780

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$2,007,354

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 04:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.088%

Change 4h +0.081%

Change 24h +0.301%

Z-score 7d 0.27

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.001250%

Avg 24h 0.001250%

Percentile 7d 100.0% top

Percentile 30d 69.6%

Δ 4h 0.000000%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↑ Price ↓ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h -0.469%

Divergence -0.30

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

16.153

OI / Vol z-7d

3.27 extrême

OI momentum 4h

-0.154%

Funding +ratio 24h

100.0%

Sign streak

+76 crowded

Time: 2026-10-18 04:00:00 OI observed: 03:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 04:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348309	fresh	9h	↑ up	early_expansion	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.724	expansion	bull_high	65%	noisy_chop 34%	early 15b 0.1ATR	—	near 0.3ATR	0.34	59%	↔ -0.10	below_value	-4.57	—	#171732	0.63	bull_high	+5.98%	+0.36	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:23	↗
4h #351041	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.654	compression	bear_high	53%	noisy_chop 36%	mid 12b -1.2ATR	near -0.1ATR	—	0.14	2%	↓ -0.77	below_value	-6.34	—	#172935	0.50	bear_high	-1.39%	-0.63	18/10 00:00 upd 18/10 04:16	↗
1h anchor #351370	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.729	compression	bear_high	54%	noisy_chop 42%	late 22b -1.9ATR	near -1.7ATR	—	0.51	8%	↓ -0.73	below_value	-6.89	—	#173136	0.58	range_low	-0.27%	-0.36	18/10 04:00 upd 18/10 05:10	↗
15m #351306	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.407	normal	bear_medium	59%	noisy_chop 39%	early 7b -0.7ATR	—	—	0.68	23%	↓ -0.28	below_value	-6.34	—	#172935	0.62	range_low	+0.10%	-0.09	18/10 04:45 upd 18/10 05:03	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209290	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	0s	0.408	0.348	55/66	2026-10-18 05:00	2026-10-18 05:36
4h #209224	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	1h	0.390	0.401	45/66	2026-10-18 04:00	2026-10-18 04:38
1d #208560	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	9h	0.444	0.614	19/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #173069	fresh	2026-10-18 04:45	0s	$0.845327	$0.864367	$0.836900	between	-2.71	8.03
7d #173136	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	0s	$0.894696	$0.938214	$0.854129	lvn LVN	-6.89	9.44
30d #173002	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	1h	$0.803503	$0.934360	$0.770395	hvn	1.23	5.47

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.873106 → $0.888088	1.70%	4.38	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.037066	-10.83
below	$0.900573 → $0.903070	0.28%	0.73	0.80	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.064533	-18.86

Prix observé : $0.836040. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.817250 → $0.836427	2.32%	2.15	0.82	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.950015 → $0.960341	1.08%	1.16	0.61	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.113975	-12.80
below	$0.979518 → $0.994270	1.49%	1.66	0.63	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.143478	-16.11

Prix observé : $0.836040. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.615890 → $0.637962	3.52%	0.74	0.85	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.198078	+6.60
above	$0.719944 → $0.764089	5.95%	1.47	0.81	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.071951	+2.40
below	$0.965891 → $0.994270	2.90%	0.95	0.77	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.129851	-4.33

Prix observé : $0.836040. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:46:02+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 838,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T08:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}