Observation #41512

← Research Observations / #41512

🪙 ARB page 📊 Market Context

🪙 ARB

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 06:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

05:00–06:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

06:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

07:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.183860

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $7,247,285

Synced: 10-18 07:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 05:00) Next (10-18 07:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · ARB — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbroad_risk_on

Leadershipalts

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.7753

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 05:46:06 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00032266

Settled at: 2026-10-18 06:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)93,267,219.80

OI (USD)$17,205,937

Mark price$0.184480

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$7,098,378

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 05:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.368%

Change 4h +0.626%

Change 24h -7.442%

Z-score 7d 0.31

💰 Funding Context settled

Current 0.000005%

Avg 24h -0.000024%

Percentile 7d 41.1%

Percentile 30d 18.2%

Δ 4h -0.001245%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +1.323%

Divergence 0.37

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

2.432

OI / Vol z-7d

1.20

OI momentum 4h

+3.564%

Funding +ratio 24h

60.0%

Sign streak

+8 crowded

Time: 2026-10-18 05:00:00 OI observed: 04:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 05:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348200	fresh	10h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.699	compression	bull_high	53%	noisy_chop 40%	early 24b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.55	75%	↓ -0.20	below_value	-6.86	—	#171682	0.58	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.95	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:17	↗
4h #350925	fresh	2h	↓ down	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.414	normal	bear_high	60%	noisy_chop 41%	early 11b -1.0ATR	near -0.3ATR	—	0.27	6%	↓ -0.62	below_value	-6.43	—	#172882	0.41	bear_high	-1.39%	+0.00	18/10 00:00 upd 18/10 04:11	↗
1h anchor #351649	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.581	expansion	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 41%	early 4b 0.2ATR	—	—	1.16	56%	↔ -0.06	value	-5.77	—	#173217	0.74	range_low	+0.25%	-0.14	18/10 05:00 upd 18/10 06:09	↗
15m #351588	fresh	0s	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	balanced	0.479	normal	range_medium	39%	noisy_chop 45%	late 4b 1.8ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	1.71	68%	↑ +0.20	below_value	-6.97	—	#173083	0.70	range_low	+0.57%	+0.07	18/10 05:45 upd 18/10 06:00	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209304	fresh	2026-10-18 05:00	0s	0.537	0.491	21/66	2026-10-18 06:00	2026-10-18 06:35
4h #209172	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	2h	0.445	0.440	26/66	2026-10-18 04:00	2026-10-18 04:37
1d #208510	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	10h	0.318	0.366	48/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #173150	fresh	2026-10-18 05:45	0s	$0.181130	$0.184780	$0.180580	hvn	2.26	3.48
7d #173217	fresh	2026-10-18 05:00	0s	$0.198529	$0.201122	$0.183650	value	-5.77	6.87
30d #172949	fresh	2026-10-18 00:00	2h	$0.203626	$0.230797	$0.192993	between	-3.57	6.38

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.176580 → $0.178280	0.96%	1.41	0.76	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.005580	+4.62
below	$0.187880 → $0.188580	0.37%	0.58	0.92	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.004020	-3.33

Prix observé : $0.183860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.170000 → $0.172730	1.59%	1.07	0.64	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.011130	+4.37
above	$0.175733 → $0.180101	2.46%	1.72	0.53	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003759	+1.48

Prix observé : $0.183860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.161490 → $0.177242	9.30%	2.66	0.83	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.006618	+1.12
below	$0.248124 → $0.256000	3.12%	1.33	0.70	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.064264	-10.85

Prix observé : $0.183860. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T09:46:06+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 834,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T10:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T09:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T09:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}