Observation #41707

← Research Observations / #41707

🪙 BTC page 📊 Market Context

🪙 BTC

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 09:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

08:00–09:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

09:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

10:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$81,939.00

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,151,475,813

Synced: 10-18 10:15 +1.3h

← Prev (10-18 08:00) Next (10-18 10:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · BTC — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationmixed_dispersion

Leadershipmixed

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.4638

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 08:45:59 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.000334%

Annualized-2.93%

Premium-0.00052674

Settled at: 2026-10-18 09:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)41,658.49

OI (USD)$3,413,580,243

Mark price$81,942.00

Funding next-0.000362%

Day vol (USD)$1,004,114,878

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 08:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.631%

Change 4h +1.355%

Change 24h +1.264%

Z-score 7d 0.85

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000208%

Avg 24h 0.000634%

Percentile 7d 3.6% bottom

Percentile 30d 4.7%

Δ 4h -0.000758%

🔀 Price × OI

↑↑ Price ↑ · OI ↑

Price Δ 4h +0.310%

Divergence -0.36

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

3.396

OI / Vol z-7d

1.62

OI momentum 4h

+1.257%

Funding +ratio 24h

96.0%

Sign streak

-1

Time: 2026-10-18 08:00:00 OI observed: 07:55:04 (5min ago) Funding at: 08:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 168 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (5) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348176	fresh	13h	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	balanced	0.555	compression	bull_high	59%	noisy_chop 34%	early 26b -0.6ATR	—	—	0.34	7%	↔ -0.01	above_value	-0.34	—	#171676	—	—	—	—	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:15	↗
4h #352312	fresh	1h	↔ neutral	range	range	moderate	grind	0.517	compression	bear_high	56%	noisy_chop 31%	early 3b 0.3ATR	—	near -0.6ATR	0.42	18%	↓ -0.72	above_value	+1.50	—	#173345	—	—	—	—	18/10 04:00 upd 18/10 08:05	↗
1h anchor #352712	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	explosive	0.705	normal	range_low	43%	noisy_chop 47%	early 3b 0.9ATR	near -0.4ATR	near -1.1ATR	0.69	29%	↔ -0.12	above_value	+1.41	—	#173480	—	—	—	—	18/10 08:00 upd 18/10 09:05	↗
15m #352652	fresh	0s	↑ up	transition	bullish_transition	strong	grind	0.731	normal	range_low	42%	noisy_chop 44%	early 13b -0.1ATR	—	—	1.04	61%	↔ +0.10	above_value	+1.41	—	#173480	—	—	—	—	18/10 08:45 upd 18/10 09:00	↗
5m #352651	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	balanced	0.415	compression	range_low	38%	noisy_chop 43%	mid 10b -0.9ATR	near -1.1ATR	—	0.14	8%	↑ +0.26	above_value	+1.41	—	#173480	—	—	—	—	18/10 08:55 upd 18/10 09:00	↗

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209565	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	0s	0.510	0.523	15/65	2026-10-18 09:00	2026-10-18 09:35
4h #209498	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	1h	0.508	0.489	10/67	2026-10-18 08:00	2026-10-18 08:37
1d #208504	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	13h	0.496	0.507	10/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #173616	fresh	2026-10-18 08:45	0s	$81,260.41	$81,867.47	$81,154.02	between	6.64	6.98
7d #173682	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	0s	$81,660.68	$83,283.83	$80,801.37	value	1.12	9.97
30d #173548	fresh	2026-10-18 04:00	1h	$83,564.21	$84,945.40	$80,841.30	value	-2.04	5.67

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$80,766.00 → $81,078.92	0.39%	3.06	0.71	continuation_down	✓	↑ $860.08	+8.42
below	$82,205.42 → $82,268.00	0.08%	0.61	0.71	continuation_up	✓	↓ $266.42	-2.61

Prix observé : $81,939.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$79,732.00 → $80,648.60	1.14%	3.68	0.77	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,290.40	+5.18
below	$84,047.66 → $84,315.00	0.32%	1.07	0.78	continuation_up	✓	↓ $2,108.66	-8.47

Prix observé : $81,939.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$78,000.00 → $80,052.05	2.60%	2.84	0.92	continuation_down	✓	↑ $1,886.95	+2.61

Prix observé : $81,939.00. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	computed	09:05	09:20	-0.05%	-0.15×	0.00×	-0.33×	5m	15m	Low first	0.72	0.00%	-0.05%	16.79%	0.11%	$2.51M	— / —	— / —	—	100%
1h	computed	09:05	10:05	-0.85%	-2.50×	0.00×	-2.53×	5m	1h	Low first	0.65	0.00%	-0.85%	50.44%	0.86%	$145.25M	— / —	09:25 / 09:30	—	100%
4h	computed	09:05	13:05	-0.93%	-2.71×	0.00×	-3.46×	5m	2h40m	Low first	0.24	0.00%	-0.93%	35.73%	1.18%	$450.60M	— / —	09:25 / 09:30	—	100%
12h	computed	09:05	21:05	+0.55%	+1.62×	+2.07×	-4.63×	11h45m	7h15m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.55%	33.06%	2.29%	$1.58B	20:10 / 20:45	09:25 / 09:30	—	100%
1d	computed	09:05	09:05	+0.94%	+2.76×	+4.29×	-4.63×	18h30m	7h15m	Low first	0.05	0.00%	+0.94%	32.17%	3.04%	$2.41B	20:10 / 20:45	09:25 / 09:30	—	100%

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T12:45:59+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 841,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T13:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T12:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T12:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}