Observation #41940

← Research Observations / #41940

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.281680

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,525,408

Synced: 10-18 13:00 +1h

← Prev (10-18 11:00) Next (10-18 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0136

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 11:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001625%

Annualized-14.24%

Premium-0.00063000

Settled at: 2026-10-18 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)33,101,134.00

OI (USD)$9,318,631

Mark price$0.281520

Funding next-0.001577%

Day vol (USD)$1,557,848

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h +0.096%

Change 4h -0.333%

Change 24h -1.425%

Z-score 7d 0.18

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.001668%

Avg 24h -0.001915%

Percentile 7d 30.4%

Percentile 30d 10.0%

Δ 4h -0.001625%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -2.671%

Divergence -1.06

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.137

OI / Vol z-7d

1.30

OI momentum 4h

-1.292%

Funding +ratio 24h

24.0%

Sign streak

-3

Time: 2026-10-18 11:00:00 OI observed: 10:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 11:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 165 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348254	fresh	16h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.673	normal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 9b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.19	29%	↓ -0.48	value	-5.47	inside	#171705	0.58	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.97	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:20	↗
4h #353755	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.732	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 37%	late 15b -2.8ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.46	16%	↓ -0.89	below_value	-9.78	inside	#174110	0.50	bear_high	-1.92%	-0.54	18/10 08:00 upd 18/10 12:13	↗
1h anchor #353754	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.533	normal	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 47%	late 12b -2.8ATR	—	—	1.31	48%	↔ -0.15	below_value	-9.78	inside	#174110	0.57	bear_low_confirmed	-0.88%	-0.41	18/10 11:00 upd 18/10 12:13	↗
15m #353662	fresh	0s	↓ down	early_expansion	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.426	expansion	bear_medium_confirmed	65%	noisy_chop 52%	mid 6b -1.6ATR	—	—	0.31	36%	↑ +0.77	below_value	-10.03	—	#173975	0.80	range_low	-0.59%	-0.16	18/10 11:45 upd 18/10 12:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209792	fresh	2026-10-18 11:00	0s	0.477	0.276	37/67	2026-10-18 12:00	2026-10-18 12:36
4h #209859	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	0s	0.345	0.158	50/67	2026-10-18 12:00	2026-10-18 12:38
1d #208533	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	16h	0.341	0.418	40/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #174042	fresh	2026-10-18 11:45	0s	$0.291091	$0.292445	$0.284175	lvn LVN	-6.75	5.93
7d #174110	fresh	2026-10-18 11:00	0s	$0.310565	$0.336548	$0.289693	lvn LVN	-9.78	15.86
30d #174178	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	0s	$0.330484	$0.356207	$0.298194	between	-5.97	6.98

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.280753 → $0.282749	0.71%	1.43	0.64	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.293301 → $0.294441	0.39%	0.82	0.64	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011621	-8.34
below	$0.295725 → $0.296580	0.29%	0.61	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.014045	-10.08

Prix observé : $0.281680. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.279470 → $0.288841	3.30%	3.17	0.79	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.344216 → $0.348475	1.23%	1.44	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.062536	-21.17
below	$0.370625 → $0.381700	2.94%	3.75	0.86	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.088945	-30.10

Prix observé : $0.281680. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.256600 → $0.277397	7.79%	2.50	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.004283	+0.52
below	$0.375910 → $0.387950	3.15%	1.45	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.094230	-11.34

Prix observé : $0.281680. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T15:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T15:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}