Observation #41973

← Research Observations / #41973

🪙 PONS page 📊 Market Context

🪙 PONS

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 12:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

11:00–12:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

12:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

13:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.262250

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $9,513,955

Synced: 10-18 13:02 +1h

← Prev (10-18 11:00) Next (10-18 13:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · PONS — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationalt_capitulation

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0136

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 11:46:03 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate0.001250%

Annualized10.95%

Premium-0.00003903

Settled at: 2026-10-18 12:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)83,050,662.00

OI (USD)$21,708,114

Mark price$0.261384

Funding next0.001250%

Day vol (USD)$9,853,047

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 11:55:04

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features ⓘ

missing

Missing — no derivatives features row before observed_at. Check that app:dispatch-derivatives-features-jobs ran successfully, or that OI history exists for this pair (OI starts ~mid-Sep 2026).

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348321	fresh	16h	↔	—	—	—	—	—	—	bear_high	38%	noisy_chop 45%	—	—	—	0.28	2%	↓ -0.43	value	-3.20	—	#171738	—	bull_high	+5.98%	-1.00	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:23	↗
4h #353842	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.750	compression	bear_high	52%	noisy_chop 44%	late 17b -2.9ATR	—	—	3.10	69%	↓ -0.27	below_value	-3.56	inside	#174146	—	bear_high	-1.92%	-0.92	18/10 08:00 upd 18/10 12:17	↗
1h anchor #353841	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	fading	0.751	expansion	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 45%	late 10b -2.9ATR	—	—	0.84	54%	↑ +0.42	below_value	-3.56	inside	#174146	0.48	bear_low_confirmed	-0.88%	-0.70	18/10 11:00 upd 18/10 12:17	↗
15m #353627	fresh	15min	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	explosive	0.423	volatile_reversal	bear_high_confirmed	51%	noisy_chop 50%	late 4b -2.1ATR	—	—	0.09	30%	↑ +0.91	below_value	-3.75	—	#174010	0.54	range_low	-0.74%	-0.53	18/10 11:30 upd 18/10 11:47	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209827	fresh	2026-10-18 11:00	0s	0.379	0.080	64/67	2026-10-18 12:00	2026-10-18 12:37
4h #209894	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	0s	0.252	0.010	63/67	2026-10-18 12:00	2026-10-18 12:38
1d #208566	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	16h	0.100	0.006	64/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:21

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #174078	fresh	2026-10-18 11:45	0s	$0.280810	$0.292166	$0.263528	between	-5.18	7.99
7d #174146	fresh	2026-10-18 11:00	0s	$0.284675	$0.335125	$0.278545	lvn LVN	-3.56	8.31
30d #174214	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	0s	$0.625385	$0.740760	$0.392611	lvn LVN	-21.59	20.60

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.264516 → $0.270770	2.34%	1.74	0.67	reversion	✓	↓ $0.002266	-0.63
below	$0.291508 → $0.294470	1.01%	0.83	0.79	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.029258	-8.16

Prix observé : $0.262250. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.254970 → $0.271001	6.10%	2.35	0.81	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.356814 → $0.368130	3.12%	1.66	0.83	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.094564	-13.88

Prix observé : $0.262250. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.254970 → $0.275211	7.64%	1.20	0.83	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.433093 → $0.505961	15.52%	4.31	0.76	reversion	✓	↓ $0.170843	-10.11
below	$0.712422 → $0.740760	3.90%	1.68	0.69	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.450172	-26.63

Prix observé : $0.262250. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T15:46:03+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 837,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T16:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T15:55:04+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 296,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": null,
        "staleness_seconds": null,
        "resolution": "missing"
    }
}