Observation #42068

← Research Observations / #42068

🪙 JUP page 📊 Market Context

🪙 JUP

Market snapshot at

2026-10-18 14:00 UTC

T — snapshot anchor

Last closed 1h candle

13:00–14:00

features known as of T*

Outcome entry

14:05 UTC

T + 5 minutes

Record created

15:15 UTC

Historical computation

Price

$0.280570

Universe

Eligible

Vol 24h: $1,520,522

Synced: 10-18 15:00 +1h

← Prev (10-18 13:00) Next (10-18 15:00) →

* Subject to the verification of feature availability timestamps. Exchange: hyperliquid · Sampling: 1h

Chart · JUP — marker à observed_at

Market Regime

fresh

Primary biasbull

Phasebull_pullback

Environmenttrend_pullback

Participationbtc_led_risk_on

Leadershipbtc

BTC bias 1Dbull

Breadth score0.0694

evaluated_at: 2026-10-18 13:46:01 · staleness: 14min

Funding (settled)

fresh

Rate-0.001562%

Annualized-13.68%

Premium-0.00062495

Settled at: 2026-10-18 14:00:00

staleness: 0s

Open Interest

fresh

OI (coin)33,107,834.00

OI (USD)$9,276,153

Mark price$0.280180

Funding next-0.001320%

Day vol (USD)$1,525,410

Snapshot at: 2026-10-18 13:55:05

⚠️ funding_next = taux qui settlera à la prochaine heure, pas déjà appliqué.

staleness: 5min

Derivatives Features v1 ⓘ

fresh

📊 OI Dynamics quantity-space

Change 1h -0.043%

Change 4h -0.346%

Change 24h -1.652%

Z-score 7d 0.05

💰 Funding Context settled

Current -0.000119%

Avg 24h -0.001812%

Percentile 7d 45.2%

Percentile 30d 16.7%

Δ 4h +0.000682%

🔀 Price × OI

↓↓ Price ↓ · OI ↓

Price Δ 4h -0.753%

Divergence -0.06

🧮 Participation / Crowding P1 primitives

OI / Vol 24h

6.042

OI / Vol z-7d

1.23

OI momentum 4h

-1.050%

Funding +ratio 24h

24.0%

Sign streak

-5

Time: 2026-10-18 13:00:00 OI observed: 12:55:05 (5min ago) Funding at: 13:00 Coverage 30d: 100% (720 samples) OI samples 7d: 165 Funding interval: 1h

Market Contexts (4) ⓘ

TF	Status	Staleness	Direction	Phase	Structure	Strength	Momentum	Mom. score	Volatility	Regime	Tradability	PAQ	Move	Demand	Supply	RVOL	Vol %ile	Vol Trend	Vol Zone	POC ATR	LVN	VP ref	BTC Corr	BTC Regime	BTC OutPerf	RS / BTC	Évalué à / Updated
1d #348254	fresh	18h	↔ neutral	transition	bullish_transition	moderate	grind	0.673	normal	bull_high	50%	noisy_chop 39%	mid 9b -1.0ATR	—	—	0.19	29%	↓ -0.48	value	-5.47	inside	#171705	0.58	bull_high	+5.98%	-0.97	16/10 20:00 upd 17/10 20:20	↗
4h #353755	fresh	2h	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	strong	fading	0.732	compression	bear_high	55%	noisy_chop 37%	late 15b -2.8ATR	near -0.7ATR	—	0.46	16%	↓ -0.89	below_value	-9.78	inside	#174110	0.50	bear_high	-1.92%	-0.54	18/10 08:00 upd 18/10 12:13	↗
1h anchor #354451	fresh	0s	↓ down	range	range	moderate	grind	0.535	compression	bear_high	57%	noisy_chop 45%	late 14b -2.7ATR	—	—	0.31	3%	↔ -0.04	below_value	-10.67	inside	#174440	0.57	bear_low	-0.84%	-0.27	18/10 13:00 upd 18/10 14:10	↗
15m #354391	fresh	0s	↓ down	transition	bearish_transition	moderate	grind	0.540	normal	bear_medium	60%	noisy_chop 45%	mid 3b -1.5ATR	—	near 0.4ATR	0.16	18%	↓ -0.84	below_value	-10.44	—	#174311	0.77	range_low	-0.48%	-0.16	18/10 13:45 upd 18/10 14:02	↗
5m	—	—	Pas de snapshot

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + timeframe — c'est ce que Staleness mesure par rapport à observed_at.

Quality Scores (3) ⓘ

Base TF	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	Score	Momentum	Rank	Scored bucket	Created at
1h #209993	fresh	2026-10-18 13:00	0s	0.435	0.287	47/64	2026-10-18 14:00	2026-10-18 14:36
4h #209859	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	2h	0.345	0.158	50/67	2026-10-18 12:00	2026-10-18 12:38
1d #208533	fresh	2026-10-16 20:00	18h	0.341	0.418	40/64	2026-10-17 20:00	2026-10-17 20:20

scored_at = bucket Laravel pour ranking cross-coin ; evaluated_at = timestamp de la dernière candle Python (canonique).

Volume Profiles (3) ⓘ

Window	Status	Evaluated at	Staleness	POC	VAH	VAL	Zone	POC dist (ATR)	Value width (ATR)
24h #174376	fresh	2026-10-18 13:45	0s	$0.291091	$0.291875	$0.283890	between	-8.54	6.48
7d #174440	fresh	2026-10-18 13:00	0s	$0.311010	$0.334950	$0.290110	lvn LVN	-10.67	15.72
30d #174178	fresh	2026-10-18 08:00	2h	$0.330484	$0.356207	$0.298194	between	-5.97	6.98

evaluated_at = ouverture de la dernière candle fermée du rolling window. Data cutoff réel = evaluated_at + source TF.

LVN zones (window 24h — source TF 15m) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
below	$0.281751 → $0.282749	0.35%	0.81	0.60	continuation_down	✓	↓ $0.001181	-0.96
below	$0.292303 → $0.294441	0.73%	1.74	0.72	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.011733	-9.52
below	$0.295725 → $0.296580	0.29%	0.69	0.75	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.015155	-12.30

Prix observé : $0.280570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 24h (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 7d — source TF 1h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
inside	$0.279470 → $0.289350	3.47%	3.46	0.78	continuation_down	✓	inside	+0.00
below	$0.344070 → $0.349390	1.53%	1.87	0.65	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.063500	-22.27
below	$0.352430 → $0.356230	1.07%	1.33	0.56	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.071860	-25.20
below	$0.356990 → $0.359270	0.64%	0.80	0.51	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.076420	-26.80

Prix observé : $0.280570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 7d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

LVN zones (window 30d — source TF 4h) ⓘ

Status	Range	Width %	Width ATR	Depth	Setup	Tradable	Distance ($)	Dist ATR
above	$0.256600 → $0.277397	7.79%	2.50	0.78	continuation_down	✓	↑ $0.003173	+0.38
below	$0.375910 → $0.387950	3.15%	1.45	0.76	continuation_up	✓	↓ $0.095340	-11.47

Prix observé : $0.280570. Les zones viennent du payload_json.lvn_zones[] du snapshot 30d (toutes les zones, incluant non-tradable). Setup à titre indicatif — ne pas filtrer dessus (labels peu fiables).

Outcomes (5 horizons) ⓘ

Horizon	Status	Entry	Window end	Close ret	in ATR	Max up ATR	Max down ATR	Time to high	Time to low	First extreme	Dir. eff.	Excess vs BTC	BTC ret	Real. vol	Real. range	Volume	FT up 1/2 ATR	FT down 1/2 ATR	Ambig.	Coverage
15m	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
4h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
12h	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—
1d	missing	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	—	— / —	— / —	—	—

Entry = observed_at + 5min (policy next_5m_open_plus_5min, versionnée). ATR référence = atr_1h_14 (Wilder, 1h fermées) et atr_1d_14. Excess vs BTC = close_return − btc_return (benchmark non-β-ajusté).

Debug — Raw resolutions JSON

{
    "market_regime": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T17:46:01+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 839,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "funding_rate": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T18:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "open_interest": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T17:55:05+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 295,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    },
    "derivatives_features": {
        "evaluated_at": "2026-10-18T17:00:00+00:00",
        "staleness_seconds": 0,
        "resolution": "fresh"
    }
}